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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-08-27 04:29:01Premiership Weekend Betting tips
27th - 28th August 2011
27th August 2011Aston Villa (2.1) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (4)
Villa did the business last weekend beating a poor Blackburn side 3-1. Heskey and Bent both on the score sheet. They left it a bit late in the Carling Cup midweek but that was with their B side. Wolves are surprisingly joint at the top of the league with the 2 Manchester sides. Coincidently the both have played Blackburn and Fulham. Wolves have been playing some nice football and look like they could finish in the top half. Last weekend, Villa were 1.75 to beat Blackburn so 2.1 could be considered value. I don't think so though. Its not like Villa have done anything great yet so 2.1 is a bit low for me. I'm leaning more towards the draw at 3.4. As this is the early kick off though, I'm going to go for the half time draw. Its 2.25 at bet365. These early kick offs seem to produce few first half goals.
Wigan (2.4) Draw (3.3) Queens Park Rangers (3.3)
Wigan have had an easy start to the season on paper. They have played 2 of the promoted sites already and QPR are the 3rd. So far though, they have only drawn 2. Last weekend, they missed a late penalty which would have won them the game against Swansea. QPR got their first win of the season last week at Everton. I think that was down to Everton being poor rather than anything great from Everton. QPR only had one shot on target and scored it. I think there is some good value in the 2.4 on Wigan here. I can't see QPR pulling off another away win and Wigan will have to win games like this sooner or later. 2.4 at William Hill.
Blackburn (3.4) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.4)
These sides had 3-1 wins against Sheffield sides in the Carling Cup midweek. First wins of the season for both teams. Blackburn were poor against Villa last weekend and deserved to lose 3-1. Chris Samba looks like he'll be back for this game so that's help the defence but they need better strikers too. Everton seem to start slow every season now. They were beat 1-0 at home by an average QPR side. With no money to spend, its not looking like its going to be a good season for Everton. I can't actually see why they are favourites for this game. On current form, I'd expect those type of odds if Everton were the home side. I guess it's the 1X for me. Both priced about the same but as the home win is slightly better at 3.4 at VC Bet, that will be my pick.
Chelsea (1.22) Draw (7) Norwich (18.5)
Chelsea left it late to beat West Brom last weekend who did lead for most of the game. Chelsea still have a bit to go before they are challenging for the title but I think they will walk this game. Norwich will see this as a game where they will be able to relax in. They'll be no pressure as everyone expects them to lose. I like the markets at Coral
for this. They have Chelsea to win to nil at 2.0 and Chelsea not to win to nil at 2.75. I've gone to win to nil bet. I just can't see who is going to score for Norwich. Free £30 Bet for New Customers
Swansea City (2.5) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3.25)
Both these teams were knocked out of the Carling Cup midweek. Its more worrying for Sunderland though as they put out a fairly strong side and failed to score. Swansea are still looking for their first Premiership goal. They lost 4-0 on the opening weekend and then drew 0-0 last weekend against Wigan. Sunderland haven't managed to score in the last 2 games. They started off well with the point at Liverpool but its gone downhill since. The loss last weekend to Newcastle was disappointing to say the least. In terms of bets, I think under 2.5 goals is the way to play it. Neither of the 1X2 results would be a surprise but a goal fest would be really surprising 1.73 at Boylesports is generous in a game like this.
Liverpool (1.44) Draw (4.6) Bolton (8.5)
Liverpool beat Arsenal 2-0 last weekend. It was looking like a 0-0 until Arsenal went down to 10 men. Suarez came off the bench and made a big difference too. He's likely to start. I can't see Daglish resting him this game. Bolton played a great game against City but the off lapse in defence allowed City to take all 3 points with a 3-2 win. Its does show that Bolton are still scoring without Elmander and Sturridge. That's 6 goals this season Bolton have scored. I'm not liking the low odds on Liverpool here. They are priced up as a top 4 team which possibly they are but too early to tell. They did only draw 1-1 with Sunderland on the opening day of the season 1-1 at home. 8.5 on the Bolton win is where the value is but I just think that Liverpool will win this game. It's 1.44 at VC Bet
28th August 2011
Newcastle (2.2) Draw (3.4) Fulham (3.75)
Newcastle somehow managed to beat Sunderland last weekend. Surprisingly, they are the only side in the Premiership to have not conceded a goal yet. A few more results like this will silence the doubters . I think they are quite a good bet for relegation this season. No Joey Barton though as he's signed for QPR. He'll be a big miss. Fulham lost midweek in the Europa League but still went through over the 2 legs. It has meant a trip to the Ukraine for them which can't be good. Last weekend, they lost 2-0 to Wolves which suggests that Martin Jol hasn't cracked winning away from home yet. No real strong opinions on this. 1X but I don't know which one so I'll skip this.
Tottenham (3) Draw (3.4) Manchester City (2.5)
Tough start for the season for Spurs. They were well beaten 3-0 by Manchester United last week and now have the other Manchester team who on paper are even stronger. Looking at the Spurs line up, its not as strong as in previous seasons. Up front, Defoe, Crouch and Pavlyuchenko aren't going to trouble this City side. They have just signed Adebayor on loan but he can't play in this game. City were pushed all the way by Bolton but won 3-2. New signing, Samir Nasri should start and with the rest of the players City have got, look irresistible. If Mancini plays an open game, I can see City winning this comfortably. It's just that he may think a point at Spurs is a good result and play defensively. I am going for City draw no bet at 1.8 at Boylesports. I like the money back for the draw. I think that's the least City will get.
West Brom (2.15) Draw (3.4) Stoke (3.85)
Unlucky start for West Brom Two good performances but no points. Opponents were Manchester United and Chelsea. They shouldn't struggle this season based on those performances. Hodgson has transformed West Brom in to a side which looks mid-table rather than one that's going to struggle. Stoke has a midweek Europa League game. It was at home so no travelling but its an extra game they've had to play (West Brom had a Carling Cup game but made 11 changes so his side will be fresh). Last weekend Stoke salvaged a point from Norwich with a late goal but also missed a penalty. I am going to go for West Brom here. The only worry for me is the recent head to heads. West Brom haven't won in 9 against Stoke. This run has got to come to an end sometime though. West Brom are 2.15 at VC Bet.
Manchester United (1.53) Draw (4.5) Arsenal (7.5)
Manchester United looked great against Spurs. Once United went ahead, it was a stroll in the park for them. Two wins out of 2 and they look like they will be fighting it out with City for the Premiership title. Arsenal played a good game against Udinese mid week to get in to the Champions League proper. Confidence boosting but its papered over the cracks in the Arsenal side. They were actually very lucky not to be 3 down at half time and Udinese had a penalty saved at half time. Gervinho, Song and Frimpong who started that game won't be available for this game either. The only ray of hope I can see is Walcott and his pace. He reminds me of Michael Owen in his prime. United it 1.53 is the lowest I've ever seen them against Arsenal. It's a good price in my opinion on current form though. United just beat everyone that comes to Old Trafford and Arsenal have a shocking recent away record. It's 1.53 at PaddyPower.
If Arsenal win, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st/last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.
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