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Weekend Football
by Ben, last updated 2006-02-09 07:43:48Nigels Picks
by Nigel Ridgeway
FOOTBALL*******
bet365
RED DEVILS 4/6 JOLLIES TO FOLLOW HOME BLUES
Liverpool have been replaced by Manchester United at the head of the bet365 Premiership ‘Without Chelsea' market after losing 2-0 at Stamford Bridge last weekend. United, who are 4/6 to finish second, have spent most of the season hoping for the leaders to slip up but, with just 13 matches to go, it's only a question of time before Chelsea wrap things up mathematically, and reward those bet365 punters who backed them at 10/11!
bet365 latest ‘Without Chelsea' prices ... Man Utd 4/6, Liverpool 5/4, Arsenal 12/1, Tottenham 40/1, Bolton 125/1
CHELSEA TO HAVE A FIELD DAY AT 2.10
Boro may have taken the scalps of Arsenal and Man United at the Riverside, but they have managed just one other win there this season, and have now gone six league games without victory, conceding on average more than two goals a game. Expect Chelsea to have a field day here, and they should be the cornerstone of any bet365 Premiership Accumulator this weekend. They can also be backed with confidence on our Asian Handicap, giving up a goal and a quarter start (currently 2.10). Here at bet365 we bet this market to just 102%, so it's easy to see where the value lies, compared to the fixed price of 2/5.
Asian Handicap Pick: Chelsea (-1.25 goals @ 2.10)
The anticipated loss for Boro would see them drop into the bottom three, and the 11/4 currently on offer for them to be relegated will look decent value come next week (especially if Birmingham beat West Ham on Monday night). bet365 also go 5-2 that Steve McClaren is removed from his Middlesbrough post before the season is over, following their 4-0 loss to Aston Villa at the Riverside.
bet365 Premiership Relegation prices ... Portsmouth 2/7, Birmingham 4/6, West Brom 5/4, Middlesbrough 11/4, Fulham, Charlton 12/1, others on bet365 website.
13/10 UNITED FOR THE DOUBLE
No prizes for picking Man United to beat Portsmouth this weekend at 8/15 but, bearing in mind that Pompey have conceded almost as many goals in the first half as in the second, there's grounds for taking the bet365 price of 13/10 for United to have this sewn up by half time. Man City are a much better team at home, where only one team outside the top four has beaten them, and they should be backed at 10/11 to beat Charlton on Sunday. The Addicks started the season as the Premiership's most impressive away team, but have now gone six away games without a win, and it's hard to imagine them reversing that form here.
At Craven Cottage, Fulham ought to be able to improve on their decent home record against a Baggies outfit that is poor on the road, and they complete our weekend at accumulator at bet365 odds of 5/6. A £50 four-fold on our four outright selections this weekend will return you £394.45 at the current prices, and that includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (up to 60% more every weekend here at bet365).
Weekend Premiership Picks:
Man United to beat Portsmouth @ 8/15 (United / United @ 13/10) Man City to beat Charlton @ 10/11 Fulham to beat West Brom @ 5/6 4-fold on Chelsea (2/5); Man Utd; Man City; Fulham - pays £394.45 (£50
stake) bet365
Gerry's Picks
By Gerry McDonnell
Rob ‘n Peter to slay PaulI'll be honest with you all, I am not, nor have ever been, a practicing doctor. However, I know a case of robsavitis when I see it, a medical condition that makes you collapse for no apparent reason. Arjen Robben is the latest high profile sufferer, hopefully he'll recover in time to face a freefalling Boro.
Steve McClaren's team are in a relegation battle and the fans are revolting. One supporter ran 60 yards to throw his season ticket towards the Boro bench; McClaren's considering a £4 million bid. The irate fan has been allowed to return to the Riverside; the Judges in Middlesbrough are a particularly cruel bunch, the fan asked for a custodial sentence.
Boro's Lee Cattermole shed a tear on the pitch after Villa put four past them, he'll be bawling like a ginger haired school girl when Chelsea are finished with them. 4/11's short, but as my wife always says, size isn't important.
I'm afraid I have to have another pop at Peter Crouch. Thierry Henry scores roughly two goals every three games for Arsenal, while Ruud Van Nistelrooy scores more than two in three for Man U. Crouchy has scored 4 goals in 31 appearances for Liverpool, an average of two goals every 15 ½ games, and that's with help from the dubious goals panel.
I've criticised Peter Crouch on a few occasions this season, if he ever sees me, he'll probably want to hit me; i'd better change my name to Annette. The big man has scored 50% of his total goals for Liverpool against Wigan; with Robbie Fowler chomping on the bit, the Reds are definitely worth a nibble at 4/5 to leave the JJB with three points.
Tottenham travel to the Stadium of Light to play Sunderland, the Premier League equivalent of a bye. With or without madman Mido, Spurs have the points in the bag; invest at 2/5. A gentleman's agreement stopped Danny Murphy from making his debut last week against Charlton, but he's not bitter. Dan the man's a 7/2 shot to open his account for the Lilywhites.
Rio Ferdinand returns to the Man U team after receiving a ban for clattering Robbie Savage. It was a harsh dismissal in my opinion; Savage throws himself to the ground if the cost of curling tongs rises above the rate of inflation. Rio looks set to retain his place in the middle of the park, he's accustomed to a holding role. Ronaldo is back in the goals, Rooney and Nistelrooy are straight out of the top drawer; a trip to Portsmouth should hold no fear for the Red Devils, they're good things at 1/2.
Like a fat man who runs a marathon, the residents of Newcastle were overjoyed when the Sweaty Sock was removed. Unfortunately, cheers turned to tears when Glenn Roeder was placed in the chair, he famously relegated a team that included Joe Cole, Kanoute, Di Canio and Defoe; imagine what he'll do with Boumsong and Bramble. The Geordies are useless on the Roed; make Aston Villa your weekend nap at 6/5.
Sol Campbell's a lot like me, he likes a quick half before going home. Arsenal were solid at the back in his absence last week, they can get the better of Bolton at Highbury. Back the Gunners at 1/2, you'll be depressed if you miss it.
Valentines Day is around the corner, there's a little bit of love in the weekend specials
"Love is in the air" - Peter Lovenkrands to score with a header 7/1
"My Hart will go on" - John Hartson to score a hat-trick 33/1
"The passion of the Crist" - Ronaldo to be booked 2/1
"A total eclipse of the Bart" - Joey Barton to be sent off 25/1
"Surly Val and Tyne" - Carvalho and Shearer both to be booked 9/1
Quote of the week:
"I must go to the hospital to see Robben; he must have broken his neck."
Rafa Benitez is alright by me.
Stat, you're a liberty:
Wafer thin step over merchant Ronaldo has a worse disciplinary record than Robbie Savage this season.
Stat, you're an absolute liberty:
Every time Manchester United have visited Portsmouth in the Premiership, they've been beaten.
Acc of the week:
Liverpool, Aston Villa, Fulham, Man City and West Ham form the weekend accer, it's a 22/1 beauty.
Weekend Betting:
Wigan v Liverpool Saturday 11th February 12.45 Live on PPV
Wigan 11/4
Draw 12/5
Liverpool 4/5
Get on: Liverpool
Wigan haven't won in three since they booked a trip to Cardiff, the Pool are playing better than recent results suggest.
Match Special:
Liverpool to keep a clean sheet 5/4
Arsenal v Bolton Saturday 11th February 15.00
Arsenal 1/2
Draw 5/2
Bolton 5/1
Get on: Arsenal
Only Chelsea have won more matches at home than the Gunners, Bolton have gone four matches on the road without recording a win.
Match Special:
Thierry Henry to score direct from a free kick 7/1
Aston Villa v Newcastle Saturday 11th February 15.00
Aston Villa 6/5
Draw 11/5
Newcastle 15/8
Get on: Aston Villa
Villa have lost only 1 in 10, Newcastle have lost their last four league matches on the road without scoring. Historically, the Villa are unbeaten in their last six face-offs with the Toon Army.
Match Special:
Luke Moore to score two or more goals 13/2
Everton v Blackburn Saturday 11th February 15.00
Everton 11/10
Draw 9/4
Blackburn 2/1
Get on: Everton
Everton sit on top of the recent form table, Blackburn lost at West Brom in their last match.
Match Special:
Cahill to score the only goal of the game 33/1
Fulham v West Brom Saturday 11th February 15.00
Fulham 5/6
Draw 9/4
West Brom 11/4
Get on: Fulham
Fulham are unbeatable at home in the league, the Baggies are very beatable on the road; or off the road.
Match Special:
Fulham to keep a clean sheet 11/8
Middlesbrough v Chelsea Saturday 11th February 15.00
Middlesbrough 13/2
Draw 3/1
Chelsea 4/11
Get on: Chelsea
The Boro have conceded 17 goals in 6 matches; Sunderland, Coventry and Nuneaton were in that elite group. It's a question of how many; the answer is two or three.
Match Special:
Chelsea to win 2-0 or 3-0 13/5
Portsmouth v Man Utd Saturday 11th February 17.15 Live on PPV
Portsmouth 5/1
Draw 5/2
Man Utd 1/2
Get on: Man Utd
It's five without a win for Pompey, United have scored 18 goals in 6 games. It could be a pasting.
Match Special:
Ronaldo to score at any time 2/1
Sunderland v Tottenham Sunday 12th February 13.30 Live on Sky
Sunderland 13/2
Draw 11/4
Tottenham 2/5
Get on: Tottenham
A high scoring encounter historically, there have been three goals or more in each of the last 10 meets. I can see a few goals again, all to Tottenham.
Match Special:
Tottenham to win 3-0 7/1
Man City v Charlton Sunday 12th February 16.00 Live on Sky
Man City 4/5
Draw 12/5
Charlton 11/4
Get on: Man City
Psycho's men have won their last four at home, the Addicks haven't won an away match in the league since October. City have found the net 11 times in the last three meetings with Charlton, they'll fancy this one.
Match Special:
Joey Barton to score at any time 11/4
West Ham v Birmingham Monday 13th February 20.00 Live on Sky
West Ham 4/5
Draw 12/5
Birmingham 11/4
Get on: West Ham
It's six straight wins for the Hammers, averaging 2.5 goals a game. Blues are playing well at home, but they're still struggling on the road.
Match Special:
West Ham to score three or more goals 3/1
Bet with bluesquare
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