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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-09-16 20:08:35Premiership Weekend Betting tips
17th - 18th September 2011
17th September 2011Blackburn (4.6) Draw (3.6) Arsenal (1.91)
Blackburn got their first point of the season last weekend at Fulham. Rochina scored a cracker but they were pegged back shortly after. They do look a bit light weight upfront and will struggle to score. Arsenal are struggling to score too. They've only scored 3 league goals this season too. Arsenal have the talent to get many more though. It'll just take them some time. They got a good point away in Dortmund. I thought they were outclassed and wouldn't have been able to complain if they lost. They played their strongest team so even though its early in the season, tiredness maybe a problem for them this game. I'd be weary backing Arsenal away from home any any price nowadays. They have only won 1 in their last 10 away games and that was against Blackpool last season. I can't be backing Blackburn either as they don't look like they can score. I think the bet to have is the half time draw. The early kick offs usually take a while to get going and so 2.2 at bet365 is the bet for me. Every where else its 2.0 or 2.1.
Aston Villa (2) Draw (3.5) Newcastle (4.5)
Villa drew 2-2 at Everton last weekend, maintaining their unbeaten run this season. Agbonlahor getting a late equaliser. No Heskey this game so Bannan or Albrighton will take his place along side Bent. Newcastle too remain unbeaten this season and sit 4th in the table. I cannot for the life of me work out how though. They were battered by QPR last Monday and drew 0-0. They could have actually won it at the end too. Their luck has got to run out sooner or later. Looking at the sides, Villa look a lot stronger and are the ones to end Newcastle's run. Villa to win is even money at Ladbrokes.
Bolton (1.83) Draw (3.75) Norwich (5.25)
Some pressure on Owen Coyle after than 5-0 home defeat to Manchester United. Too be fair, United looked excellent and it would have taken a stellar performance from Bolton to get anything. They let 3 goals against City and Liverpool too as well. Norwich are more ordinary opponents though and you'd expect Bolton to not get beat like they have been doing. On the opening day, they did beat QPR 4-0. Norwich are still looking for their first win of the season. They went down to an early goal last weekend against West Brom. Goals are going to be their problem. Holt, Martin and Morison don't look like they are good enough for the Premiership. In terms of betting, I can't see past a Bolton win. After 3 beatings, Bolton will be well up for this game and Norwich just don't have the forwards to cause Bolton any problems. It's 1.83 at PaddyPower.
Everton (1.57) Draw (4) Wigan (8)
Everton played a strong game against Villa and maybe should have taken all 3 points. I still think their side is pretty limited though and 1.57 is too low for Everton to beat anyone in the Premier League at the moment. A weakened Wigan side were knocked out of the Carling Cup midweek but that won't have any bearing on this game. Previously they lost 3-0 to City which is quite respectable. I can imagine City giving out 3-0 beatings to teams around the bottom of the table all season. Looking at the odds, I must have a punt on Wigan. Eveton at 1.57 is far too low. I spotted that VC Bet have Wigan draw no bet at a massive 6.0. It was only a few weeks ago that Everton lost 1-0 at home to QPR. Its 8.0 for the straight Wigan win but I'll go for the safer draw no bet at 6.0.
Swansea City (2.8) Draw (3.3) West Brom (2.8)
Poor Swansea. Still not scored a goal yet and losing to Arsenal by a freak goal. Even at this early stage its looking grim for Swansea. New striker, Graham isn't doing it up front for them up front. West Brom got their first win of the season last weekend courtesy of a goal from Odemwingie. He also missed a late penalty which would have put a better look to the scoreline. West Brom were unlucky to lose in the previous 3 games against Manchester United, Chelsea and Stoke. That win at Norwich is just the thing they needed to kick start their season. I am going to be backing them to get the win here. Currently they are 2.05 draw no bet at Coral to win this. Odds are dropping on the straight win so I don't expect that price to last.
Wolverhampton (2.00) Draw (3.5) QPR (4.2)
Wolves excellent start to the season ended last weekend with the 2-0 home defeat to Spurs. They were out played and Mick McCarthy will expect better of his team this week. Too early in the season to tell how Wolves get on. I remember thinking last season that Wolves were playing well but just unlucky. QPR's new signings have made all the difference. They played great against Newcastle and will be disappointed that they didn't get the win. Wright-Philips was excellent. Its a tricky one this. I see some value in the away win. 4.2 is a big price but I fear that QPR's new signings may just need a few more weeks to gel. There's one thing playing well but if you don't put the ball in to the back of the net, its all for nothing. If I had to bet, I'd for the draw but I don't think I'll bother with this game.
18th September 2011
Tottenham (2.7) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.83)
Spurs got their first win of the season last weekend against Wolves after getting battered by the 2 Manchester sides previously. Adebayor scored on his debut and if past form is anything to go by, he'll score a few more and then drop off. Parker also had a great game. For this fixture, Gallas, Lennon and van der Vaart could all be back from injury. Spurs did have a midweek Champions League game but made so many changes that this team effectively had the week off. Liverpool lost to Stoke last weekend, 1-0 to a contentious penalty. Stoke isn't the easiest places to go but it does raise questions about the ability of Liverpool away from home. I do have a strong fancy for Spurs here. They've won the last 3 league fixtures here all 2-1. At the moment, you can get Spurs draw no bet at 1.91 at William Hill. Decent price this as they're quite evenly matched and with Spurs having the home advantage, you'd expect a price of 2.38ish for the home win.
Fulham (6.5) Draw (4) Manchester City (1.62)
Fulham sit in the bottom 3. 2 draws and 2 losses isn't what the team was expecting. The usual fortress Craven Cottage has yielded 2 draws. They did look at bit clueless against Blackburn last weekend. City have been storming in the league with 4 wins out of 4. Midweek they got a reality check when they had to come from behind to get a 1-1 draw in the Champions League against Napoli. I'll put that down to nerves. In the league they have been nothing short of sensational. With the pace they have, they'll run circles around Fulham. 1.62 is a little short though I think. I don't understand this but William Hill have over 2.5 goals at 1.91. All City's game's have been overs so far. I can see City knocking 3 past Fulham in the first half. If some how Fulham manage to score, then its effectively the same bet as a City win (If Fulham score then City have to score 2 to win which means over 2.5 goals). Bet with William Hill.
Sunderland (2.47) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.3)
Tough times for Sunderland. Gyan off on loan to somewhere in the Middle East leaves Bendtner as the main striker. Sunderland scored a late consolation goal against Chelsea last game but never really looked in the game. Worryingly, they have only scored 2 goals all season. Stoke were just a couple minutes away from a historic win in Kiev midweek. Kiev only equalised in the 90th minute. To be fair, Pulis did rest a lot of players so it wasn't his first choice side and so hopefully won't suffer from any dip in form due to the extra midweek game. Last weekend, they managed to beat Liverpool with a disputed penalty. Liverpool had most of the possession but Stoke held strong and got the win. I don't think Stoke will lose this game. Sunderland seem to toothless to score. Price for the away win and draw are the same. I will go for the draw as Stoke may suffer some hangover from their trip to Kiev. It's 3.3 at Totesport.
Manchester United (1.85) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (4.8)
Manchester United have been nothing short of exceptional this season in the league. Top of the league after 4 games, scoring 18 and conceding 3. They tore Bolton apart 5-0. Rooney scoring back to back hat tricks. Midweek they did draw away to Benfica but that was with a much weaker United side than usual. The big guns will be back for this game for sure. Chelsea played a strong team for their Champions League game and left it late to seal the win against Leverkusen. 2-0 was a pretty flattering scoreline considering how the game went. They haven't convinced me at all this season. They are 3rd in the league but if you look at who they have played, Stoke, West Brom, Norwich and Sunderland, you'd expect them to be top if they were a serious challenger this year. I am all over United this game. With Bet365 having a special free bet, Place a pre-match bet and get a free in running bet up to the value of your original bet, up to £50. United are 1.875 to win there on the -0.5 Asian Handicap (which is the same as the home win). If, for some strange reason United aren't up to their usual standard, you can always use your free bet to back the draw or Chelsea. Click here to sign up.
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