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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-04-02 03:18:09Premiership Weekend Betting tips
2nd - 3rd April 2011
2nd April 2011West Ham (4.75) Draw (3.8) Manchester United (1.83)
West Ham pulled out of the relegation zone last round with a good 0-0 at Spurs. They have already beat a second string Manchester United this season in the Carling Cup. West Ham could do with the points here but will probably survive even with defeat here as they have a team which is too good to go down in my opinion. Striker Robbie Keane will be available for selection after scoring for Ireland. Manchester United some how managed to scrape past Bolton last game. Down to 10 men, with the clock ticking away, Berbatov scores a goal very late on to stretch their lead at the top of the table. They worrying this for Manchester United is that the injuries are stacking up and they have Chelsea midweek in the Champions League. That's got to be a massive distraction for a team that isn't playing well at all. I don't really understand why Manchester United are odds on favourites here. They have only won 4 games away from home all season. My money is on West Ham at 4.75 at VC Bet. Too big a price for the home win.
Birmingham (2.6) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3)
This is a must win game for Birmingham. They lost this fixture in the FA Cup 3 weeks ago. That was after the Carling Cup win though and Birmingham didn't put out their strongest team for that. No danger of McCleish putting out a weakened side this game. Last game, they lost to a stoppage time goal at Wigan 2-1. Bolton are in that no mans land now. Their league season is over. They only have the FA Cup to play for now. Last round they really should have gone for the win at Manchester United when United were down to ten men but they some how managed to lose it. Away form hasn't been that good all season with just 2 wins. They did managed to get some cracking away results in the FA Cup though. I will be backing Birmingham here. It's a team that must win against a team that doesn't have to. 2.6 at PaddyPoweris a great price I think.
Everton (1.89) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (4.5)
Everton have quietly been picking up points and are now up to 8th on 40 points. 10 points from the last 4 game. Top scorer Saha will be out of this game as to will be Arteta. Cahill is a doubt which if he doesn't play will be a massive blow. I can't work out why Villa are looking at relegation as a possibility. On paper, they should be above Everton but for some reason they are 1 point above the relegation zone. No team with Bent, Downing and Young should be fighting relegation. Last game they lost against Wolves 1-0 was in part due to their make shift defence. Looks like they regular defence will be back for this game. Looking at the odds, I can see backing Villa as the only option. Everton have blown hot and cold all season and really shouldn't ever be odds on. Villa at 4.5 at PaddyPower is my bet.
Newcastle United (2.08) Draw (3.5) Wolverhampton (4)
Newcastle were thumped last round 4-0 at Stoke. The international break would have been great for them. On 36 points they are fairly safe but their form under Pardew hasn't been good at all. Selling Carroll to Liverpool might have made financial sense but it has left them looking weak upfront with Ameobi and Lovenkrands upfront. Wolves took a big step towards Premiership safety with a 1-0 win at Villa. They played well and deserved that result. That's 8 points from the last 12 they've managed. A big blow for them will be loss of top scorer Doyle though. Ebanks-Blake will start up front instead. I think this is going to be an X2 game. I don't see Newcastle winning this. I'm going to go for a draw. All previous Premiership games between these teams have ended in draws so why not another one? The draw is 3.5 at bet365
Stoke (5.8) Draw (3.8) Chelsea (1.73)
Stoke were looking like they could get sucked in to the relegation battle but a 4-0 spanking of Newcastle has put them more or less safe now. Their league season, as with Bolton, might be over. They only really have the FA Cup to play for. Saying that, there is some pride at stake here. Stoke have lost all 5 Premiership games against Chelsea. Chelsea are back in to the title contention after a run of 3 wins. They are 9 points behind Manchester United with 9 games to go but they do have a game in hand over United. I am not totally convinced though. Torres still isn't playing great and they didn't manage to beat Copenhagen in the Champions League. They didn't need to win that game but really they should have if they are challenging for the title. Then there is the question of Manchester United on Wednesday. That's where their focus will be on. I think they'd rather progress in that then put their efforts into a faint title hope. I can't be backing Chelsea at those odds. I don't think they'll lose the game though, so by elimination, its going to be the draw. Its 3.8 at VC Bet.
West Brom (3.2) Draw (3.35) Liverpool (2.4)
West Brom managed to get a 2-2 draw from Arsenal. Due to poor defending on Arsenal's side, West Brom found themselves 2-0 up. They were dominated though should consider themselves lucky to have gotten the point. That keeps their unbeaten record intact under Hodgson and more importantly keeps them a point above the relegation zone. Liverpool have been great under Daglish and 4th place is actually a possibility but more likely, they'll pip Spurs to 5th place. With Carroll and Suarez they have a strike force that is feared. Gerrard looks like he'll be back for this game too. I don't think Liverpool will gift West Brom the goals that Arsenal did and therefore will win this game. Liverpool are 2.4 at William Hill.
Wigan (3.3) Draw (3.3) Tottenham (2.44)
Wigan scored a late goal last round to beat Birmingham. They still sit rock bottom of the table though but are still within 2 points of safety but with their goal difference its more like 3 points. They have a fully fit side with their top scorer Rodallega back. Wigan do play some nice football but its just the last 3rd that lets them down. Spurs have stumbled a bit in the league. I don't know how that game against West Ham last round stayed 0-0. Chances at both ends but neither side could put the ball away. Bale will not be playing in this game as Redknapp has one eye on Real Madrid on Tuesday. That explains why the price is so high on Spurs. I would have expected about even money. Tricky one to call this, I am just going to leave it betting wise. If Wigan were 4.0+ I might have been tempted but at the odds available I can't really see anything worth backing.
Arsenal (1.29) Draw (6.5) Blackburn (15)
Arsenal will want to put March behind them. Practically everything that could have gone wrong did. Last round, some comical goal keeping put them 2-0 down at West Brom. They managed to pull it back to 2-2 but dropped 2 vital points in the title race. The break has done them good with Walcott, Song, Fabgregas and Diaby will all be back from injury. Blackburn came back from 2-0 down too last round. That was at home to Blackpool though so they'll see that result as 2 points dropped rather than a point earned. They are in serious danger of going down. They built their points at home but just not getting anything now. I can see this being a nightmare game for Blackburn. The last two times this fixture finished 6-2 and 4-0. I can see at least a 2 goal victory here. I'll go for Arsenal -2 on the Asian Handicap at 2.21 at VC Bet. A 3 goal victory is needed to payout and a 2 goal victory returns stakes.
3rd April 2011
Fulham (1.6) Draw (4.4) Blackpool (6)
Fulham have more or less kept themselves out of the relegation zone with their recent home form. Out of 5 games, they have picked up 13 points and only dropped points against Chelsea. A win here will put them on 38 points and safety I think. Blackpool were just minutes from taking all 3 points at Blackburn last round. That might just be down to Blackburn being in totally shocking form though. Charlie Adam's return was a big boost with him scoring both their goals. He took a knock on international duty but is back to play this game. I think Fulham will win this but the odds are extremely poor. You really don't want to be backing Fulham at 1.6 against anyone, especially Blackpool who have sprung a fair number of surprises this season away from home. I am going to go for the over 2.5 goals market. Coral have over 2.5 goals at 1.67. Blackpool can score goals but leak them even more. I'd be very surprised if this game stayed unders.
Manchester City (1.54) Draw (4.2) Sunderland (7.5)
City were disappointing against Chelsea last round. They really missed Tevez who will be back for this game. He hasn't been in great form of late but his presence will lift the whole team no doubt. City will be thankful that 4th place rivals Spurs have been slipping up so there's not as much pressure on them. Sunderland's form has dipped massively. I thought they may have turned it around last round but they were poor against Liverpool. That's 3 games now without scoring. They have only scored 33 all season which puts them in the bottom 3 on the goals scored table. City keep it tight at home so I can't see Sunderland scoring here. My bet here will be City to win to nil. Its 2.4 at Coral.
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