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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-04-15 17:11:40FA Cup Semi Final Picks
16th - 17th April 2011
16th April 2011Manchester City (4) Draw (3.4) Manchester United (2.1)
City were inept against Liverpool last round. They lost their talisman, Tevez early and after that had no chance. 3-0 down at half time, the game fizzled out and they lost 3-0. Not the type of performance that you'd expect from a top 4 team. He'll be out this game too. Their expensive strike force of Dzeko and Balotelli just haven't been performing. Manchester United keep on winning. Last weekend with a weakened side, they disposed of Fulham 2-0 and then in the week, they were comfortable against Chelsea beating them 2-1 to get through to the semi final of the Champions League. Ferguson knows what team to put out to be able to do just enough to win. Rooney will not be playing but I don't think that'll be much of a loss. Berbatov and Hernandez can are in great form and can step up. I can see Manchester United winning this one. The only chance that City have to progress in my opinion is to go for the 0-0 and try get through on penalties. United are 2.1 at most Bookmakers.
17th April 2011
Bolton (2.54) v (3.4) Stoke (3)
Bolton come in to this game as slight favourites. They beat West Ham last weekend 3-0 which is surprising considering their minds would have been on this game. They've been in no mans land in the Premier League for the past few weeks. Really nothing to play for apart from this. One loan signing Sturridge is cup tied so won't be able to play. He'll be missed. Stoke aren't in as comfortable position in the league as Bolton but are more or less safe now. They managed to score 2 away at Spur last weekend but lost 3-2. In terms of betting, I agree with the bookies here. Its pretty much a coin toss type game where any of the outcomes wouldn't be surprising at all but with a slight bias towards Bolton. My bet will be on the over 2.5 goals market. This season has produced more goals that usual and as last Premiership round showed, neither team has trouble scoring. Over 2.5 goals is 2.15 at bet365.
Premiership Weekend Betting tips
16th - 17th April 2011
16th April 2011Birmingham (2.25) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.75)
Birmingham are slowly pulling themselves clear of the relegation zone. They have picked up 4 points in their last 2 games. This match will be crucial as it looks like Sunderland will be one of the teams that look like they could go down. Both sides are injury ridden but important defender Roger Johnson should play as well as Zigic and Bentley. Sunderland will be without Mensah and A Ferdinand and others. Sunderland scored twice last weekend against West Brom, ending their run of 4 games without a goal. Pity for them they lost 3-2. They are a team on the slide with just one draw in the last 8 with the rest being losses. Like last weekend, I'm backing against Sunderland again. Their form must change at some point but while they are still sliding, I am going to keep backing against them. Birmingham are 2.25 at Totesport.
Blackpool (2.4) Draw (3.5) Wigan (3.1)
Blackpool sit just 1 point above the relegation zone after they lost last weekend and were fortunate that the bottom 3 also lost. They played well against Arsenal last weekend and on another day may have gotten a draw. The last points they picked up at home were against Spurs in a game where they had 3 chances and won 3-1. They'll need that type of luck if they are to stay up. Wigan lost to Chelsea last weekend 1-0 at the Bridge. Quite a respectable score. I don't think they should be rock bottom of the Premiership. They've been improving this season and if strip out the games they should have lost (those against the top 5) their record isn't too bad at all. Back on the first day of the season Blackpool went to Wigan and won 4-0. Some nice revenge in store I think. My tip is Wigan at William Hill at 3.1.
Everton (1.73) Draw (3.8) Blackburn (6)
What can I say about Everton? Their injury ridden side just stunned me last weekend. They were 3-0 against Wolves at half time with Phil Neville scoring a great goal. Looks like they'll be playing the same team as last weekend which wouldn't be such a bad thing considering the result. Blackburn have drawn their last 3 which is keeping them above the drop zone. Their away record is generally terrible but did manage a 0-0 at Arsenal a couple of weeks ago. Overall they are 3-2-11 away from home. I can see them playing for a point here. It'll be a good result for them. Everton have little to play for now but do hold some ambition of finishing above Liverpool. They are only 4 points behind, so its possible but unlikely. I'm going to go for the draw here. I think Everton will win but 1.73 is too low for a team with all their best players out. I'd be wanting even money for Everton. The draw us 3.8 at VC Bet.
West Brom (5.6) Draw (3.85) Chelsea (1.73)
West Brom are up to 10th place now after a 7 unbeaten run. Hodgson has really turned this team around. They were 2-1 down at Sunderland last weekend and turned it around to win 3-2 and the weekend before they came back from 1-0 down to beat Liverpool. Odemwingie is in great form at the moment. Chelsea were knocked out of the Champions League on Tuesday. They lost 2-1 and so went out 3-1 on aggregate to Manchester United. Apart from in the first 20 minutes or so, you could tell that Manchester United were going to win that game. Maybe the Chelsea are getting a bit old. Last weekend they only managed to beat Wigan 1-0. With that in mind, I don't see how Chelsea can be odds on favourite to win this game. Last away Premiership game they drew against Stoke 1-1. I'm not brave enough to back West Brom straight but I think the 4.0 at Bodog for the draw no bet is great. Would it be that much of an upset if Chelsea lost this game?
West Ham (2.38) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.25)
West Ham are still in the relegation zone after losing 3-0 at Bolton. It seems that just when you think they have turned they corner, they bottle it and put out a bad performance. With the players they have, they should be in the top half of the table. Villa beat a weak Newcastle side last weekend 1-0. It wasn't the greatest of performances but a win is a win I suppose. They too have a side that should be in the top half of the table, if not challenging for Europe. It's a mystery how they could have been sucked in to the relegation battle. On 37 points they still could go down but that win last weekend did relieve a lot of the pressure. In terms of betting, I am going to go for West Ham. Their best performances have come at home in their mini revival periods. They were 2-0 up against Manchester United 2 weeks ago. They are 2.38 at PaddyPower to win.
17th April 2011
Arsenal (1.75) Draw (3.8) Liverpool (5.5)
For some reason, people think the title race is back on since Arsenal managed to beat Blackpool 3-1. It still doesn't change the fact that they probably conceded the title race a few weeks ago when they drew 0-0 at home to Sunderland and then 0-0 to Blackburn. Drawing 2-2 at West Brom was another blow. I think this game is going to be harder than any of those for Arsenal. Liverpool worked extremely hard on Monday to beat City 3-0. Carroll scored twice in a game which Liverpool had won at half time. With Suarez upfront too, this Liverpool side could looks more dangerous upfront that Arsenal do. Arsenal still have that problem with pretty football but no end result. I am going to go for Liverpool on the Asian Handicap +0.75 goals. Its 1.98 at bet365. You get half your stake back if it's a 1 goal Arsenal win and paid out in full for a draw or Liverpool win.
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