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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-10-22 02:03:43Premiership Weekend Betting tips
22nd - 23rd October 2011
22nd October 2011Wolverhampton (2.05) Draw (3.4) Swansea City (4)
After a bad start, Wolves have gone on the slide. They have lost their last 5 games. Top scorer Fletcher is out but Ebanks-blake could be back to replace him. Swansea sit one point above Wolves in the league. This is on the back of their home form though. Away from home they have yet to get a point. I suppose they have played, City, Arsenal and Chelsea in that away run though. They've also been scoring which was a problem for them at the start. Graham and Sinclair may be able to get a few goals this season after all. I am going to go for Wolves here. A lot more riding on this for Wolves than Swansea. If they don't win games like this, then they'll go down. Wolves are 2.05 at Ladbrokes
Aston Villa (2.15) Draw (3.4) West Brom (4.2)
There was reality check last weekend when Villa lost their unbeaten record. They didn't look too good, losing 4-1 to Manchester City. I am not sure whether that's because Villa are poor or whether City are just a class above everyone else or Villa are poor. With Bent, Agbonlahor and Heskey up front they really should have done better. West Brom got a confidence boosting 2-0 win over Wolves last round. Odemwingie on the scoresheet after coming on a sub. Its not certain he will start this game but no doubt it will be a big boost if he does. In betting terms, its tricky to call. I am swaying towards the draw here. If this was last weekends games, then I'd say Villa all day long but after last weeks results I'd say a draw would be where the value is. After all, Villa have only beaten Blackburn and Wigan all season. The draw is 3.4 at Totesport
Bolton (2.3) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3.5)
Still no home win for Bolton this season but there were signs of hope last weekend when they beat Wigan 3-1. I cannot be sure whether they have turned the corner or whether they just came across a very poor Wigan side. They still haven't won at home this season, going down to some heavy defeats too. Sunderland played a decent enough game against Arsenal last weekend. If it not for the brilliance of Robin van Persie they would have probably got a draw out of it. They welcome back Bendtner up front who on his day can score those goals. N'Gog and Davis don't have that class in my opinion. In terms of betting, I don't think Sunderland will lose this. Bolton need to show some consistency before I back them. I think Sunderland +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at Ladbrokes at 2.0 is the way to go. You get paid out at 1.5 if it's a draw and 2.0 if Sunderland win.
Newcastle (1.62) Draw (4) Wigan (7)
On current form this should be the home banker of the weekend. Newcastle are playing well and deserved to be in 4th place at the moment. Ba was a great signing and is scoring goals. The whole team just works really hard. Even when Spurs were 2-1 up last weekend with 22 minutes to go, I could see that Newcastle would get back in to the game with the amount of effort they put in. What to say about Wigan? Well, it looks like they are going down. First 3 games of the season, they played the new boys and got 5 points. Since then they have lost 5 on the bounce, including that 3-1 home defeat to a poor Bolton side. I don't think I've seen Newcastle at this price before, its strange backing them at such short odds but I will be backing them at 1.62 at William Hill
Liverpool (1.33) Draw (5.5) Norwich (13)
I can see why this game is the lowest price on the coupon but I am not convinced. I maybe a biased here but watching them against Manchester United, they didn't really look like they were going to score from open play. Gerrard looked good though and scored the goal from a free kick. Norwich, even though they are one of the new boys have been playing really well. They ran Chelsea and Manchester United closer than both scorelines suggest. Liverpool aren't as good as those teams. I look at the price on Norwich and I think its too high. I don't think I am brave enough to bet on them though. Liverpool probably will win this game but at 1.33 it holds no interest for me. The 5.5 at bet365 on the draw looks the best bet with the possibility of laying some of it off later on if its tight.
22rd October 2011
Arsenal (1.58) Draw (4.33) Stoke (7)
Poor Arsenal. I think they may be battling for 6th place with Newcastle at this rate. The 2-1 win against Sunderland and 1-0 win at Marseille paper over a few cracks in their side. They look mid-table this season. If van Persie gets injured that's where they'll be. Stoke played Maccabi Tel Aviv midweek in the Europa League and won 3-0. They have been thrashed after these midweek games in the Premiership. 4-0 at Sunderland and 2-0 at Swansea. If this was the Arsenal of previous seasons, then this could easily be thrashing number 3. I am not too sure though. They played at home and didn't have to stretch themselves to beat Maccabi Tel Aviv. They are great at set pieces which Arsenal struggle to defend. I am going to take a chance on the away win here. 7.0 at Skybet is just too big. Click here for a free £10 bet No deposit
Fulham (2.4) Draw (3.3) Everton (3.3)
At the start of this month, Fulham thrashed QPR 6-0 and it looked like it would kick start their season. They went on to lose to Stoke last weekend 2-0 and then unluckily lost 1-0 in the Europa League after having a man sent off. That could give Everton the edge here as they had no midweek game to play. Everton have now lost 3 in a row but to be fair they were against, Chelsea, City and Liverpool. I still don't see much in their team apart from a lot of effort. Saha isn't the striker he once was and Cahill isn't in good form either. I don't see where their goals are going to come from. I always think that though and the hard work they put in, lets them pick up points here and there. I think they may be able to get a point here. The draw is 3.3 at Skybet
Manchester United (2.1) Draw (3.5) Manchester City (3.8)
The game of the weekend here. Its as if Ferguson has been preparing for this from last weekend where he left, Nani, Rooney and Hernandez on the bench against Liverpool. At least two of them should start this vital fixture. The team that played against Otelul Galati was stronger. I guess Fergusson knew that he needed to win that game more than the one at Liverpool. Still could be tiring for some of them coming back from Romania though. City have been steam rolling teams since that draw at Fulham in September. 2-0 vs Everton, 4-0 Blackburn and 4-1 Villa. They do have a side that can realistically beat United this season. Its actually been pretty close the last couple of seasons between these two teams. Seeing them midweek against Villarreal midweek I was not impressed though. They were seconds away from being knocked out at the group stages in the Champions League. I was originally going to go Manchester United but there is a special offer at Bet365 that has swayed me. Basically, place a bet before the game and Bet365 will refund your first losing In running bet. I have gone City at 3.8. I'll watch the game and use the free bet that Bet365 are effectively giving me to hedge. This is a great deal for existing customers. New customers also get a £200 bet basket too. Visit the site here.
Blackburn (4.33) Draw (3.6) Tottenham (1.91)
Blackburn are rock bottom at this early stage of the season. Their only win was a 4-3 win over Arsenal. That was mostly down to Arsenal not being able to defend set pieces. They did managed to keep it at 0-0 first half against City last home game before going down 4-0. Spurs were 5 minutes from making it 5 wins in 5 last weekend at Newcastle. Redknapp is kicking himself that he let Newcastle snatch a point. If they go up in this game then they'll not make that mistake again. Spurs had a midweek game in the Europa League but rested several of his stars so In don't think tiredness will be a problem. I quite like the price on the away win. 1.91 isn't bad for a probable top 4 side vs a probable relegated side. Its 1.91 at Skybet
QPR (10) Draw (5) Chelsea (1.4)
QPR must feel they are due a home win but unfortunately its not going to be this week. Their best chance was last weekend when a poor Blackburn side came to visit. They only managed a 1-1 in an even game. It was looking all so promising with the late signings but after the 6-0 thumping at Fulham, its obvious they need a bit more time to get the team playing together. Chelsea having been winning big recently. I'll not read too much in to the 5-0 win against Genk midweek as the Belgium league is quite poor but they have been beating Premiership sides pretty comfortably, scoring 12 goals in the last 3 games. No Torres but Drogba will start instead. I cannot see anything other than an away win. Sometimes the large odds on the home win are tempting but in the mood Chelsea are in and the lack of home form for QPR, the 10.0 has no appeal. Chelsea -1 on the 1X2 Handicap looks a decent bet. Its even money at PaddyPower.
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