Weekend Football Betting Tipsby Ben, last updated 2007-03-29 18:35:47
Ben's person bets this weekend are
First bet, Newcastle to beat Man City. Newcastle are alright at home and Man City are a shocking team. They only beat Boro last time out because Boro rested players for the FA Cup replay. 2.1 at betdirect.
Second bet is a VC bet special. Chelsea, Man U and Liverpool all to win at 4.00, £50 staked. Man U is a home banker against Blackburn (Blackburn have caused problems in the past but this current Man U team is invincible!!). Chelsea have Watford so that’ll be a formality. Liverpool have Arsenal which is the risky one. Surely Arsenal can’t beat Liverpool 4 times in a season? We’ll see anyway, 4.00 is a great price IMO. Its a special at VCBet only.
By Bet365PREMIERSHIP PROPHECY – GUNNERS TO HAVE LIVERPOOL’S MEASURE AGAIN?
After a break for the Internationals, the Premiership makes a welcome return this weekend, and the obvious highlight is Arsenal’s visit to Liverpool for which bet365 are betting to 107% and go 11/5 the Gunners with Liverpool at 11/10 (11/5 the draw).
This will be the fourth meeting between the two sides this season and Arsenal have won all three so far, including twice at Anfield. That record suggests that the Gunners have got Liverpool’s number and, while we’re unlikely to see a repeat of the cup goalfests, we’d much rather be backing them over Liverpool, and doubling up on Newcastle at 5/6 who look a shoe-in to beat Man City. City were lucky to escape with a draw against Chelsea and were then fortunate to come up against a Boro side resting key players ahead of FA Cup commitments, and they won’t find Newcastle so generous. The Arsenal – Newcastle double pays £146.67 for a £25 stake at the current bet365 prices.
It’s hard to see either Watford or Blackburn getting a result against Chelsea (1/3) and Man United (3/10) respectively and that’s reflected in the match odds, but there’s still some value to be had in bet365's double result market, where you can get odds of just over 9/4 by backing both Chelsea and United to be ahead at half time and full time – that’s a nice little earner!
In other games, Charlton (11/10) can put further pressure on Sheffield United (just four points above them and with a stiff task away at Bolton on Saturday) by beating Wigan, while Fulham (6/5) are also worth backing with home advantage against a Pompey side who have been frankly rubbish in 2007. At those odds, we’re also going to get a decent return on our Premiership acca (including Arsenal, Newcastle, Chelsea and Man United), especially as bet365 will boost our returns by a tidy 20% (£563.76 for a tenner!).
Tottenham play Reading on Sunday April 1st and only a fool would be looking to back anything other than the home win at 4/6 with bet365. True, Spurs have been in-and-out at times this season, but they’ve found some form in recent weeks and they look a solid bet to beat a Reading side who have been shaky on the road.
Goals could be at a premium when Aston Villa play Everton on Monday night, so everything points to a bet on the ‘unders’ at 4/7, although bet365's 30 In-Play markets on this game looks sure to spice things up a bit.
Get lucky with your Premiership bets at bet365 this weekend!
Pinnacle La Liga Preview
Barca Hoping to Take Advantage of Depor's Away Day Blues
Comfortable in mid-table, courtesy of reliable home form, La Coruna's season is all about their Copa del Ray semi-final against Sevilla, which should they pass could mean a final against Barcelona. The sides drew 1-1 at the Riazor earlier this season, but given that Depor have won just twice away from home all season, and Frank Rijkaard's team are unbeaten at home, the bare form suggests a Barca win. Deportivo are however, better than that away record suggests. Their two away wins both came in February, and they have lost just once in seven road trips, while keeping clean sheets in five of their last eight games (home & away).
Barcelona's exit from the Champion's League rocked the club, which was already unsteady from rumours of internal friction. Recent key La Liga results have also been disappointing, including defeats by Sevilla and Valencia, along with a crazy 3-3 draw in El Classico with Real Madrid. Rijkaard will be looking for a return to form in this home tie, but judging on recent meetings Depor are unlikely to lie-down though they are without top-scorer Javier Arizmendu, who is suspended. www.pinnaclesports.com price Barcelona 2.05 (-1.5) with Deportivo La Coruna 1.885 (+1.5) but in the last 15 meetings Deportivo have the advantage having won seven times against Barca's six. Though the Catalans have won the last two meetings with home advantage, the victories were both by a single goal, and you have to go back to 1999 for the last occasion Barcelona would have covered Pinnacle's handicap in this particular fixture.
Success or Adios for Capello
Real Madrid are currently five points behind Sevilla and Barcelona, and unless coach, Fabio Capello, can galvanise his side to overhaul that gap by the end of the season, he is unlikely to be in charge next season. There has been continued speculation surrounding the Italian's future, but that is nothing new for Real Madrid, where success is demanded not expected. This pressure may explain why Los Blancos have picked up more points on the road, and also have a better scoring record away from the expectations of the Bernabeu. Madrid have another opportunity to add to their away tally when they visit struggling Celta Vigo, who have the worst home record in La Liga.
Vigo have won just one game at home this season, and given their woeful form at the Balaidos, it is no surprise that the Celtinas are in a relegation battle, just one point above the relegation zone. Coach, Fernando Vazquez, will take some comfort from the 2-1 win in the reverse fixture, but www.pinnaclesports.com see Madrid as favourites, 2.05 (-0.5) with Celta Vigo 1.885 (+0.5).
Sevilla Have Score to Settle with Osasuna
Sevilla's season is entering a critical stage, with the club chasing realistic chances in three competitions. Coach, Juande Ramos, could be forgiven for thinking that luck is smiling on his side, after a header from goalkeeper, Andres Palop, kept alive their defence of the UEFA Cup. With such success however, comes the problems of fixture congestion, added to which Ramos will hope that his multi-national squad return safely from recent overseas duty.
Apart from the motivation of attempting to win La Liga, Sevilla have revenge on their mind. These clubs finished last season on the same number of points, but Osasuna grabbed the vital fourth place (allowing Champions League qualification) because of their head-to-head record with Sevilla. Osasuna failed to reach the group phase, but are still in the UEFA Cup, where these clubs could yet meet. In any case the game at the Sanchez Pizjuan stadium, looks likely to be a low scoring affair. Though Sevilla have an unrivalled home record, on the road they are less secure, failing to score in four of their last five away league fixtures, while Osasuna have notched up just one goal in their last four at home. In reaction to these sides' poor goal-scoring form and the expected tension, www.pinnaclesports.com have set the goals total at two, with the Over pegged at 1.769, and Under 2.20.
Pinnacle Premiership Preview
Gunners Planning Another Raid on Fortress Anfield
Though Anfield is a Premiership fortress, the Gunners recorded two humiliating Cup defeats over four days in January, with a 9-4 aggregate score, which is put in perspective by the fact that the Reds have only conceded four home league goals all season. Arsenal also dished out a humiliating 3-0 victory over the Scousers at the Emirates Stadium so Rafa Benitez will certainly be demanding retribution. His captain, Steven Gerrard, rescued England's blushes with two goals against Andorra on Wednesday, and is likely to be instrumental here.
Arsenal's season has gone downhill fast since those inspirational wins here in January. They have been knocked out of all cup competitions, including the Champions League, and must now focus on maintaining third place, for which this game will be critical. The Gunners are definitely without Thierry Henry and Theo Walcott for the remainder of the season, while Robin Van Persie is only expected to return toward the end of April. Though Arsene Wenger has plenty of talented cover, the 1-0 defeat just over the road at Goodison Park in the Londoners most recent Premiership outing, was the fourth loss in their five away games in all competitions, so heads look like they are dropping. www.pinnaclesports.com see Liverpool as favourites 2.00 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Arsenal 1.926 (0/scratch & +0.5), and the slim Asian Handicap reflects the expectation of close game despite recent form suggesting otherwise.
Red Devils Sweating on Ronaldo Fitness
Alex Ferguson has been in football management for 33 years and his experience will have taught him that to succeed you sometimes need a little piece of good fortune. United have been playing fantastic attacking football this term producing 70 goals, which is 16 more than their nearest rivals Chelsea, and losing just once at Old Trafford, but they have also be lucky to avoid significant injuries - up until now that is. Cristiano Ronaldo is favourite for the Premiership Player of the Year having scored 16 league goals from midfield, and credited with 11 assists, but a heel injury picked up on midweek international duty has made him doubtful for this game, and that could be critical for the Red Devils, starting with their home game against Blackburn on Saturday. United are already short on strikers, with Saha and Solskjaer recovering, so the absence of Ronaldo would create a real problem, particularly with the Champions League on the horizon.
Rovers are coached by United legend, Mark Hughes, whose no-nonsense managerial style is modelled on his mentor, Alex Ferguson. Hughes delights in getting one over his old boss in this Lancashire derby, as with last season when Blackburn won 2-1 at the Theatre of Dreams, which followed a draw in the fixture in 2004. Blackburn are in rude form at present losing just one of their last seven games, their last outing at home to struggling West Ham, in which they were robbed by some astonishingly bad refereeing decisions. Man Utd are favoured by www.pinnaclesports.com on their Asian Handicap 2.23 (-1.5) with Blackburn 1.752 (+1.5) but some punters will be prepared to oppose United on those terms should Ronaldo sit the game out.
Chelsea Expected to Swat Hornets
Chelsea are maintaining the pressure on United hoping that the Premiership leaders slip up soon. The current Champions have recorded six straight Premiership victories without conceding, their defensive invisibility should be helped by the return to form of John Terry and Peter Cech, while up front Andriy Shevchenko is finally finding his feet in English football opening the scoring in Chelsea's last two wins. The Blues should be expected to pick up another three points at Vicarage Road, where Watford have won just twice this season.
The Hornets are bottom of the Premiership, a position they have occupied for virtually the entire season, and were on the end of a 4-0 hammering in the reverse fixture at Stamford Bridge. Even if Frank Lampard's broken wrist keeps him out of the game, Jose Mourinho has more than enough quality in his squad to win this game, and www.pinnaclesports.com rate Chelsea 2.11 (-1.5) on their Asian Handicap, with Watford 1.826 (+1.5).
by Gerry McDonnellThat Lam Chop was Delightful
My life is currently like an attempt on goal from Frank Lampard; it lacks any real direction. The wife tries to fill her void with a part time job in a psychiatric hospital; it's great that they can relate to someone on their own level.
There was a heated discussion at the wife's workplace on the relative merits of Steven Gerrard MBE and Frank Lampard BFG. Opinion was split right down the middle; the staff sided with Stevie, the patients plumped for Frank.
The great thing about a debate of this nature is the fact that there is no wrong answer; apart from ‘Lampard'. The argument has momentarily been settled by a freak injury, although that's a little bit harsh on Wayne Rooney. Nobody can argue against a punt on Chelsea at 1/3 to take care of Watford.
You don't become a bad player overnight; it took Robbie Savage almost two years. I'm taking the 9/2 for a Shevchenko opener.
Historical stats are like Helen Chamberlain, they're often reeled out but they serve no useful purpose. Middlesbrough have lost on their last four visits to West Ham, but I wouldn't put anyone off a draw at 23/10.
The last time the Gunners visited Anfield, the Arsenal kids ran amok so uncontrollably, the local council considered issuing ASBOs. The Gunners look a great investment at 23/10 to leave Liverpool victorious for a third time.
Julio Baptista has had his knockers this season, but he always turns it on against the Reds. I like big Baps; he can open the scoring at 8/1.
I was shocked to read that Sir Alex Ferguson fired a flurry of insulting expletives towards the jovial Geoff Shreeves. The roving reporter was considering suing for slander, but Fergie's ‘I thought it was Tim Lovejoy' defence is watertight. I'm convinced that the 1/3 for a United win over Blackburn is also rock solid.
Bolton will be without Ivan Campo for the visit of the Blades as a routine haircut has ran into major complications. Big Sam's men will mow down Sheffield United at 4/6.
I'm quite a spiritual being; in fact I have the ability to heal. I once roused a young lady from a drunken stupor merely by the laying of hands. She's now completely teetotal.
Alan Pardew has breathed new life into the previously moribund Charlton; Wigan are going down in the Valley at 6/5.
Chris Coleman deserves a pat on the back. It's easier to take something away from Tony Martin's cottage than it is from Fulham's. The Coleman's mustard, they'll see off Pompey at 5/4.
Spurs fans are still reeling from a disappointing result against the champions. Everyone knows you should throw the jab before considering a haymaker. I'm getting stuck into the 4/5 for a Tottenham win over Reading.
The ice on which Stuart Pearce's position sits is so thin; ecological organisations have pleaded with Frank Lampard to steer clear. Manchester City won't enjoy their trip to Newcastle, it's far too close to Scotland. City have lost at St James' Park on their last five visits, another Newcastle win at 21/20 will put the icing on Psycho's cake of sorrow.
My search for a more fulfilling existence has led me to consider embracing an alternative religion. I'll speak to Geoff Shreeves; Sir Alex mentioned something about a cult. I'm praying that the Villa beat Everton at 7/5.
This week's accer is so eye-opening, I've finally realised that the secret to happiness was right in front of me all along; I live across the road from an off-license. Charlton, Newcastle, Tottenham and Aston Villa are the selections, the 17/1 payout will cover the cost of a crate of enlightenment.
Liverpool v Arsenal Saturday 31st March 12:45 Live on Sky
Get on: Arsenal
Baptista to score from outside the penalty area 7/1
Bolton v Sheff Utd Saturday 31st March 15:00
Sheff Utd 9/2
Get on: Bolton
Bolton to win and keep a clean sheet 17/10
Charlton v Wigan Saturday 31st March 15:00
Get on: Charlton
Darren Bent to score two or more goals 11/2
Fulham v Portsmouth Saturday 31st March 15:00
Get on: Fulham
Bouba Diop to score with a header 12/1
Man Utd v Blackburn Saturday 31st March 15:00
Man Utd 1/3
Get on: Man Utd
Scholes to score at any time 11/4
Newcastle v Man City Saturday 31st March 15:00
Man City 3/1
Get on: Newcastle
Martins to score the only goal of the game 25/1
West Ham v Middlesbrough Saturday 31st March 15:00
West Ham 5/4
Get on: Draw
Match to finish 1-1 or 2-2 7/2
Watford v Chelsea Saturday 31st March 17:15 Live on Premiership Plus
Get on: Chelsea
Shevchenko to score a hat-trick 25/1
Tottenham v Reading Sunday 1st April 16:00 Live on Sky
Get on: Tottenham
Berbatov to score the first goal 5/1
Aston Villa v Everton Monday 2nd April 20:00 Live on Sky
Aston Villa 7/5
Get on: Aston Villa
Carew to score in a 2-0 Villa win 17/1
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