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Football Betting Tips

by Ben, last updated 2011-10-29 03:49:35

 Premiership Weekend Betting tips

 29th - 31st October 2011

29th October 2011

Everton (5) Draw (3.8) Manchester United (1.83)
Some how Everton managed to win at Fulham last weekend with their limited side. It could have gone either way though and Everton only managed to get the victory in injury time with 2 late goals. For this game, Neville and Cahill are both out, arguably their best 2 players. They also had to play a long 120 minutes against Chelsea midweek. Manchester United got battered last weekend. They did have Jonny Evans sent off when it was 1-0 so that was a major factor in getting beat 6-1. They were pushing forward and it allowed City to counter with the man advantage. Midweek, they had a stroll in the park against Aldershot with a second string side. They'll be fresh and hungry to bounce straight back. Manchester United are 1.83 at PaddyPower but with the injuries to Everton's two beat players, the 120 minutes midweek and United needing to bounce back strong, I am going to go for United -1 on the 1X2 handicap. Its 3.6 at bluesquare. Its around the 3.0 mark everywhere else so there's got to be some value in that.

Chelsea (1.7) Draw (4) Arsenal (6)
Chelsea must have busted quite a few accumulators last weekend, losing 1-0 at QPR. To be fair, they outclassed QPR with just 9 men. No Drogba as he's suspended but Torres will be back. Midweek, they played a second string side at Everton so I expect little tiredness from them. Arsenal took care of Stoke 3-1 last weekend with a couple of late goals from Van Persie. They still can't seem to win away from home. A draw at Newcastle and then loses to Manchester United, Blackburn and Spurs. I can't see them getting anything here. They've won their last 2 but against Stoke and Sunderland - not exactly the top teams. All Chelsea have to do is keep Van Persie quiet and they'll win comfortably. I'll be on Chelsea at 1.7 at PaddyPower.

Manchester City (1.18) Draw (8) Wolverhampton (21)
This game was played midweek with the Manchester City B side beating Wolves 5-2. That was at Molineux too. I don't really see any other result than a City win here. Its really just a case of seeing what betting angle to go with. I think over 3.5 goals at 2.1 at Skybet is the way to play this. City could easily be 4-0 up at half time here if they decide to turn on the style. 7 out of 9 league this season have been over 3.5 goals.

Norwich (2.05) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (4.2)
Norwich are playing some great football at the moment. They could have been down by more than the single goal at half time last weekend at Liverpool but went in to the break just 1-0 down. They were well worth the 1-1 draw in the second half. In the previous home games they have beaten Sunderland and Swansea. Blackburn are rock bottom and have only won 1 game so far in the league. They did manage to beat Newcastle deep in to extra time in the Carling Cup though. This could kick start their season but it also could be a distraction. Norwich didn't have to play for 120 minutes midweek. I'll stick with the team that has been winning their home game, so its Norwich then. Its 2.05 at PaddyPower.

Sunderland (2.25) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (3.75)
An excellent second half performance last weekend allowed Sunderland to get a 2-0 win over Bolton and ease some of the pressure on Steve Bruce. I don't think they are the type of side which can back that up with a home win though. One victory against Bolton doesn't change the fact that they have a limited strike force. Sessegnon and Bendtner may prove to be a good strike force this season but its too early to tell. I have more confidence in the Villa strike force Bent, Agbonlahor and N´Zogbia. Villa were on an unbeaten run until they met Manchester City and then lost to West Borm last weekend. They were 1-0 though when they went down to 10 men. I don't see them losing a third game in a row. I don't see them winning this game either, so it's the draw for me. It's 3.3 at Skybet.

Swansea City (2.15) Draw (3.4) Bolton (3.8)
Swansea were 2-0 up against Wolves last weekend after 35 minutes. They were cruising up until the 84th minute when they let Wolves score 2 goals in 2 minutes. Brendon Rogers was left scratching his head at how they could let that happen. After a slow start Swansea have been playing well. Graham looks like he can score in the Premiership after all. Bolton were beaten 2-0 last weekend at the Reebok. Sunderland turned on the heat and Bolton couldn't react. Still no home point at all for Bolton and just 6 points overall with wins against QPR and Wigan. They'll be down there at the bottom of the table unless something drastic happens in the transfer window. They never replaced their scorers from last season. Home win for me. Its 2.15 at William Hill.

Wigan (3) Draw (3.3) Fulham (2.6)
6 straight losses for Wigan. It looks like another season fighting relegation for them. To be fair they did play a decent game against Newcastle and only lost it late on. Leading goal scorer Di Santo will be back in the side this week. Fulham, were probably a bit unlucky to lose 3-1 to Everton last weekend. They missed a late chance which would have won them the game, then Everton go up the other end and score. Fulham still haven't cracked this winning away from home thing. So far they are 0-1-3 away from home. I can't see why they are favourites here. Fulham have only won 1 and that was against QPR, just like Wigan. Looking at past results, this is a nailed on draw. The last 5 have been draws. Its 3.3 at VC Bet
.

West Brom (4) Draw (3.5) Liverpool (2.1)
Back to back wins for West Brom. First was against a terrible Wolves team and then last weekend they came from behind to beat a 10 man Villa. The problem I see with West Brom is that, how often do you see teams outside the top 4 win 3 in a row? Liverpool got a disappointing home draw to Norwich last round. I do think that was because Norwich played exceptional well. Nothing wrong with the Liverpool side. Suarez still looking good and bagged another couple midweek in the Carling Cup. I do think the value is on the draw in this game. Liverpool aren't great away from home. They have beaten Everton and Arsenal but that was when their opponents were down to 10 men. I don't think that West Brom have it in them to win 3 in a row so the draw is the logical conclusion. Its 3.5 at VC Bet.

30th October 2011

Tottenham (1.4) Draw (5) QPR (9)
Fantastic run of form for Spurs. After getting smashed at the start of the season by the two Manchester Clubs they have won 5 and drawn 1. That puts them top of the current form table along with Manchester City. Adebayor and Parker have made such a difference to their side since joining. QPR were absolutely shocking against Chelsea. 11 vs 9 you'd expect them to be doing the attacking but it was Chelsea who were the more likely to score. Lucky for QPR they got an early penalty, scored it and got all 3 points. Unless Spurs get a couple of men sent off in this game, I can't see how QPR can get anything from this game. Spurs -1 on the 1X2 handicap is even money at Skybet. Get a £10 no deposit sign up bonus and use their money to have this one. Click here.

31st October 2011

Stoke (2.2) Draw (3.3) Newcastle (3.8)
Its not often you get Stoke at 2.2 against anyone outside of the traditional top 4. The Britannia is fortress. Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United have all come here this season and not one of them have won. They may have lost 3-1 last game but that was after a European fixture. They seem to be struggling a bit after the European games. They did have a Carling Cup fixture midweek but as this is a Monday night game, I don't see the tiredness being a factor. Newcastle's unbelievable run continues. They left it late last week to beat Wigan 1-0 but they did. Midweek, they did lose out to Blackburn in the Carling Cup in the last minute of extra time. In the league they are only one of 2 teams that are unbeaten, the other being Manchester City. They haven't had any tough away fixtures yet and this will be their biggest test of the season so far. I think they will fail it. Stoke are 2.2 at PaddyPower.





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