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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-05-06 19:28:20Premiership Weekend Betting tips
7th - 9th May 2011
7th May 2011Aston Villa (1.85) Draw (3.75) Wigan (5)
Villa lost 2-1 to a 10 man West Brom side last weekend. They dominated possession but didn't manage to score. Their goal was a own goal by West Brom. Their previous 4 run unbeaten streak has made them safe though and they only have pride to play for now. Wigan did well against Everton last weekend. They were ahead for much of the game and it was only a Leighton Baines penalty that allowed Everton to get a point. (Arteta did miss an earlier penalty though). I still think Wigan are better than their position suggests. I think they can get something from this game. Odds on Villa are pretty poor considering just last month, they were looking like getting dragged in to the relegation zone. Beating Newcastle and West Ham doesn't make you an odds on favourite. I see the most value in the draw at 3.75 at William Hill.
Bolton (1.80) Draw (3.6) Sunderland (5.25)
Bolton have lost their last 2 games, both away from home. It seems like they are thinking of their holidays now rather than wanting to win away from home. They put on a good performance against Arsenal last home game and won 2-1. I expect to see a performance more like the one against Arsenal rather than the tame ones away at Fulham and Blackburn. Sunderland are still a side on the slide. They looked like they may have stopped the bad run with a 4-2 win against Wigan but that looks like a blip. With injuries hitting Steve Bruce's side, I cannot see them getting anything here. Last week, they had to play with no first choice striker and it looks like they have to do the same this weekend. They lost that game 3-0 and I can see a similar scoreline here. Bolton are 1.8 at Boylesports.
Everton (2.88) Draw (3.3) Manchester City (2.75)
Everton got a point from Wigan last weekend. They missed a penalty which could have put them level much earlier on. The Everton side has pretty much recovered from their injury crisis with only Fellanini and Saha injured now. They did have ambitions of overtaking Liverpool or Spurs for that last European place but thats beyond their reach now. City looked unstoppable for the first 20 minutes or so against West Ham last weekend. They were 2-0 up after 15 minutes but after West Ham scored they looked nervous. The win pretty much guarantees them a Champions League place next year and so they can start to relax a little. They are 7 points ahead of Spurs with 4 games to go. I think they will be happy with a draw here and set up for that. A draw wouldn't be too bad a result for Everton too that have nothing to play for now. The draw is 3.3 at VC Bet.
Newcastle United (1.95) Draw (3.5) Birmingham (4.33)
Newcastle were thrashed 3-0 last weekend by Liverpool. The lack of goal scorers in their team in telling. Only 1 goal in their last 4 games and 1 win in the last 8. Injuries are taken their toll but they have enough points to be safe now. Birmingham contained Wolves pretty well last weekend when they were down to 10 men. If it was 11 vs 11, I am sure Birmingham would have won that and be looking safe on 41 points now but instead, they still have a slight danger of going down. A further blow is that top scorer Craig Gardner is suspended after getting sent off and Zigic is also still out. I don't think that Newcastle should be odds on favourite here. In the recent form table, Birmingham are ahead of Newcastle and have much more to play for. The draw looks the best option to me. Its 3.5 at Boylesports
West Ham (2.05) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (4)
West Ham looked hopeless last weekend against Manchester City for the first 20 minutes. They found themselves 2-0 down after 15 minutes. After Demba Ba scored though, they looked much better and getting a draw looked a real possibility. That would have given them hope as realistically, they have to get at least 7 points from the last 3 games to stay up (maybe even all 9). Blackburn eased their relegation worries with a 1-0 win over an indifferent Bolton side. They are still not safe yet though and probably could do with a couple more points to be sure. I don't think that Blackburn do away wins though. They are 3-2-12 away from home this season. I think that explains the price on West Ham. They have lost the last 5 on the bounce and are still more or less even money favourites. Scott Parker looks like returning too which will be a big boost. West Ham are 2.05 at VC Bet.
Tottenham (1.33) Draw (6) Blackpool (11)
Spurs were extremely unlucky at Chelsea last weekend. The 2-1 loss probably cost them a place in next year's Champions League and gives Liverpool a real chance of catching them for the Europa League place. Blackpool had a surprising 0-0 draw at home to Stoke last weekend. I didn't think I'd see a 0-0 involving Blackpool with their scoring ability and leaky defense. The last game they won was actually against Spurs, 3-1. A strange game where they had 3 chance and scored them all. Spurs had more than 10 good chances and only scored 1. I can't see them being that fortunate this time. They were sliding well before that Spurs game, with only 1 win in 15. Spurs have been drawing a few too many games but I think they will cruise this game. I am not too keen on the price though. 1.33 is just too low but it'll be my bet at PaddyPower.
8th May 2011
Wolverhampton (2.28) Draw (3.5) West Brom (3.5)
Wolves were fortunate to get a point from Birmingham last weekend. They were awarded an early penalty which was scored. Birmingham equalised midway through the first half but then Gardner was sent off. Wolves didn't manage to capitalise on the man advantage which they had for over an hour. They only had 2 shots on target in the whole game. West Brom seem to be invincible under Roy Hodgson. The only defeat they have suffered since the man took over was a 3-1 to Chelsea. The came back from a goal down to beat Villa 2-1 last weekend. Whats more remarkable is that West Brom had 10 men when they scored the winner. I can't work out the odds here. West Brom are one of the form sides whereas Wolves are totally out of form. I can't see West Brom losing this one and am confident they will have enough to get the win. Its 3.5 at VC Bet.
Stoke (5.5) Draw (3.8) Arsenal (1.73)
Stoke have the FA Cup final next weekend. I guess their minds won't be on this game at all. They are safe and are really only playing for their place in next weeks game. Last weekend, they were the more likely winners in the 0-0 draw at Blackpool. Jones missed a couple of golden chances. Arsenal showed what they were made of last weekend with a 1-0 win over Manchester United. They deserved to win in a game that has blown the title race wide open. Well, given Chelsea a chance to snatch the title anyway. Arsenal are too far behind to make a realistic challenge now. As always with Arsenal, on paper they should win this but their recent form make me weary about backing them. Stoke could just pack the defense to counter Arsenal's pretty passes. United got beat because they tried to play football against Arsenal. I am going to go for the draw. Its 3.8 at VC Bet. I can't trust Arsenal at 1.73.
Manchester United (2.4) Draw (3.3) Chelsea (3.25)
United's loss at Arsenal last weekend could have cost them the title. I was expecting them to wrap up the title in style but sub par performance at Arsenal gives Chelsea a small chance of winning the title. United will bring back the big guns for this game. A weakened side was used to dispatch Schalke midweek. Chelsea were lucky to have beaten Spurs last weekend. They should have lost if the officials got everything right. Lampard's goal never crossed the line and Kalou's goal was offside. They are on a good run now though. 8 wins out of 9. This game is a title decider. Looking at the encounters this season, United have had the better of the ties, winning both legs in the Champions League but losing at Stamford Bridge in the league. I see Old Trafford as a fortress this season though and only 1 team has managed a draw there. Everyone else has fallen. I therefore will be backing United. 2.4 is a great price for a team that is 16-1-0 at home. It's 2.4 at PaddyPower.
9th May 2011
Fulham (3) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (2.5)
Fulham manged to win away from home last weekend, agasint a poor Sudnerland side. Only their second away win of the season. At home though, they have not lost a game this calendar year. Their last defeat was against West Ham back on Boxing day 2010. Top scorer Clint Dempsey should be back for this game. Liverpool's great run has allowed them to overtake Spurs in the race for 5th place. Its their home form thats been excellent though rather than their away form. They managed to lose against West Ham and West Brom away from home. I am unsure about this fixture, both teams are in excellent form but I think Fulham should be slight favourites here rather than Liverpool. They are the home team afterall. Neither of the 3 results would be surprising to me though so I will skip this fixture from a betting point of view.
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