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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-12-02 18:02:00Premiership Weekend Betting tips
3rd - 5th December 2011
3rd December 2011Newcastle (3.75) Draw (3.5) Chelsea (2.2)
Nice result for Newcastle last weekend against Manchester United. It was a dodgy a penalty that gifted Newcastle the equaliser. Still an incredibly hard working team though and they do sit 4th. Chelsea had an easy time with Wolves last weekend, winning 3-0. I still think there is something seriously wrong at that club though.. They lost midweek with an alternative side to Liverpool in the Carling Cup. Some players will start this game that played midweek so they won't be as fresh as Newcastle. In the last few seasons 2.2 on Chelsea would have been bet of the season but Chelsea have yet to convince. Too many holes at the back. The value has got to be with the home win or draw. I'll go with the home win, its 3.75 at Skybet. Get £10 no deposit if you are a new user.
Blackburn (2.25) Draw (3.4) Swansea City (3.5)
Steve Kean rested a few players for the midweek Carling Cup. They lost 2-0 which wasn't too bad considering the players weren't really interested. It's the Premiership which is important. They sit rock bottom with only the single win all season. Its getting to be make or break time for them already. The good news is that Samba, Olsson and Salgado are all back in defence. Swansea haven't scored in the last 3 games. I suppose with the opponents being Liverpool (0-0), Manchester United (1-0) and Villa (0-0) its not too bad. Those teams do have tight defences and you could say they have only conceded a single goal. No D Graham for this game though so its hard to see where the goals are going to come from. I will have a punt on Blackburn here. I think Swansea are due a beating at some point and they may just get it here. Blackburn are 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
Manchester City (1.2) Draw (7.5) Norwich (17)
Pretty much nailed on home win here. Hard to make a case for anything else and to find the value. They do have a big week next week where they still have a slim chance of qualifying for the knock out stages of the Champions League. I think they could just stop after getting 2 goals up. I think the value is on the win to nil market. Its even money at PaddyPower. I don't think Norwich will get enough of the ball to score a goal. Even money is 5 times better than 1,2 on the straight win. They haven't kept a clean sheet in the last 6 league games though. Coral are doing City to win not to nil at 2.5. I prefer the win to nil myself.
QPR (2.3) Draw (3.4) West Brom (3.4)
QPR lost to Norwich last weekend. Its just one of those things. Previously they had played a couple of cracking games including that narrow 3-2 defeat at home to Manchester City. No Wright-Philips for this game but Barton will be back. If they play like they did against City last home game, they'll win this easily. West Brom lost to Spurs last weekend after going 1-0 up. Everyone loses to Spurs nowadays so no big deal. I'd be more concerned about the out of form strikers. I am leaning towards the home win but I think over 2.5 goals represents better value. You can get even money for over 2.5 goals at bet365. Goals have been unusually high these past couple of seasons and the bookies have caught up to that fact yet.
Tottenham (1.33) Draw (5.4) Bolton (12)
Incredible run for Spurs in the league. I think the bookies have finally caught up and are pricing them right here. They lost midweek in the Europa League but Harry's not interested in that. It's the Premier League they want to win and Champions League next season. Bolton went down to 10 men last weekend and inevitably lost to Everton (2-0). I don't see any hope for them here what so ever. Spurs are just too strong this season. I'll be backing them on the handicap. -1 on the 1X2 handicap is 1.83 at Betfred.
Wigan (6.5) Draw (4.33) Arsenal (1.62)
Wigan moved themselves off the bottom of the table with the win against Sunderland. That lead to Bruce's sacking and probably gave Martínez some more time. I still don't sell much there. In previous seasons, Wigan have given Arsenal a tough time here but this Wigan side is the poorest I've seen in the Premiership. Arsenal were disappointing in the 1-1 draw at home to Fulham. They rested several players midweek in the Carling Cup which they lost 1-0 but it was very close with City scoring a later counter attack goal. I fully expect Arsenal to win this. The price seems really low but you got to remember that Wigan are 2-3-8 this season. 1.62 at PaddyPower.
Aston Villa (5.75) Draw (3.8) Manchester United (1.75)
Villa played out a 0-0 at Swansea last weekend. They could have won it if they didn't play defensively. No goals in the last 2 games from the front players of Bent, Heskey and Agbonlahor. Abysmal performance midweek by United midweek, losing 2-1 in extra time to Crystal Palace. Embarrassing but I don't think any of them will start this game. Last week's 1-1 draw at home will be more worrying to United. They actually played a decent game and on most other days they'd have won that. Initial thoughts were that the value was on Villa but every year I seem to think that and every year United seem to win. Looking at the two respective sides, you got say that United have the better team. Not to crazy about the odds but I will be backing United this weekend. If they don't win this, then they can kiss the title goodbye. It's 1.75 at PaddyPower.
4th December 2011
Everton (1.75) Draw (3.6) Stoke (5.75)
Everton were fortunate to be playing a ten men Bolton last weekend. They ended up winning 2-0 but who knows what would have been the score if it was 11 vs 11 for the whole 90 minutes. I still don't see anything in that Everton team that makes me think that they should be odds on in this game. Stoke played a tough game midweek. Its well known they have struggled after the European games. That's the only way I can explain the poor price on the home win. Everton are 1.75 at PaddyPower.
Wolverhampton (2.5) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.13)
Wolves slide continues with the 3-0 defeat to Chelsea. It's a poor Wolves side this season but at least for this game they will be back almost to full strength. Doyle, O'Hara and Hunt didn't play at Chelsea. Sunderland have sacked their manager Steve Bruce. Martin O'Neil looks like he's accepted the new job. I suppose Bruce had to go. You can't lose 2-1 at home to the Premiership's bottom team. I fully expect the Sunderland players to respond to the new manager and play like they did a few weeks ago at Bolton where their second half performance won them the game. I will it safe though and back Sunderland on the draw no bet market at bet365 at 2.2. I fully expect this to be about even money come kick off time as punters pile in on Sunderland.
5th December 2011
Fulham (3.6) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.25)
Fulham helped ruin punters last weekend with their 1-1 draw at the Emirates. They were dominated possession wise but managed to get the draw. Midweek they had a tough game in Holland against FC Twente. They played a strong team but still lost with A Johnson getting sent off late. Its well known that Stoke have struggled after European games but so have Fulham, losing 3-1 to both Everton and Spurs after European fixtures. Liverpool have had a good run of results considering they have played Chelsea twice and Manchester City in the middle. Suarez was rested for the Cup win against Chelsea but should return for this game. Liverpool have been playing better away from home this season. Maybe when they don't have the pressure of the home fans, they perform better. I don't think Liverpool will lose this game so its draw or Liverpool. Odds are much better for the draw so that will be my pick. Its 3.4 at bet365.
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