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Football betting tips

by Ben, last updated 2007-12-06 23:53:05

 Premiership Betting - Matchday 16 Preview


This weekend’s Premiership fixture schedule presents the four main contenders with opposition that each should be expected to overcome, and the skinny three-way odds available (1,2,X) reflect this. Such situations highlight the shortcomings of traditional soccer betting options for the Premiership, but those enlightened bettors who have switched to Asian Handicaps will have no such problems. PinnacleSports.com are the world leaders in Asian Handicap soccer betting offering 1.98/1.98 style two-way betting, which gives bettors up to 60% better Premiership betting odds.


Goal Avalanche Expected at Old Trafford

The Premiership’s bottom club, Derby County, visit Old Trafford on Saturday afternoon, and the question on bettors’ minds is not if they will win, but by how many? The Rams have already conceded 34 goals, with 20 of those coming on the road, without a single reply. In his first game in charge, new manager, Paul Jewell , saw his new team lose in heart-breaking fashion at the Stadium of Light to a last minute goal. County have now played over ten hours of Premiership football without scoring, a statistic which seems unlikely to be broken at the Theatre of Dreams, where United have conceded just once all season.

The Red Devils are in ominous form, reeling off seven consecutive home league wins, with the performances of Cristiano Ronaldo going up several notches over recent games. Wayne Rooney is also available, and he will be keen to get back among the goals against a Derby side which have looked doomed for relegation long before Christmas decorations have gone up around the country. Whereas Man Utd are a best priced 1.13 in three-way markets, PinnacleSports.com have them at 1.775 (-2 & -2.5) in an Asian Handicap market priced to only under 102%, with Derby County 2.190 (+2 & +2.5).


Black Cats Will Need Nine Lives at the Bridge

Still seeking their first away win, and having lost 7-1 to Everton on the their last road trip, Sunderland appear unlikely to be the team that breaks Chelsea’s amazing unbeaten league record at Stamford Bridge. The Blues haven’t lost a home Premiership game since February 2004, and will be looking to keep the pressure on Arsenal and Manchester United, the only clubs above them in the table.

Sunderland’s problems are compounded by injuries, the latest casualty being Carlos Edwards, who only lasted three games of a comeback from long-term injury before breaking his leg in the crucial 1-0 win over Derby. Boss, Roy Keane, could be forgiven for simply attempting a damage limitation exercise on Saturday, saving his players for the more winnable games approaching in the crucial Christmas period. PinnacleSports.com price Chelsea 1.943 (-1.5 & -2) with Sunderland 1.980 (+1.5 & +2).


Best Premiership Odds at PinnacleSports.com




 Third Ruck from the Son

 by Gerry McDonnell

A great book does not necessarily make a great movie. Catch 22 is probably the seminal piece of literature of the twentieth century (if we choose to overlook Derek McGovern on Sports Betting); yet the film was a major disappointment. Somewhat conversely, I found George Orwell's tale of Soviet totalitarianism quite heavy going, but I must have watched Animal Farm 17 times.

One story that is absolutely crying out for the transfer to celluloid is the life and times of Harry Redknapp. Harry has unrealistically named Ray Winstone as an ideal candidate to play the leading role; i'd have cast Timothy Spall. I have it on good authority that Spall would consider any offer, so I'm knocking up a script entitled 'The buying, the twitch and the hoard probe.'

Harry is still understandably seething after the police raided his home at the crack of dawn. Harry can consider himself fortunate that it wasn't the West Midlands filth who were on the case, as he'd probably have been charged with 47 crimes. I feel like I'm stitching up the bookmakers by taking 6/5 for a Villa win over Pompey.

I was a little perturbed when I read that the Liverpool supporters were right behind Rafa Benitez; I thought it was a prelude to a carjacking. Fernando Torres has already bagged a hat-trick at the Madejski this season; the Spanish sensation can lead the Pool to another win over Reading at 8/11.

Steve Gibson should accept some responsibility for the dire state of English football. If the imperturbable chairman had the nouse to sack floundering managers at the appropriate juncture, the England supporters would be packing their balaclavas next summer. Gibson is once again supporting an incompetent incumbent: Arsenal will hammer home the message at 8/15.

I couldn't understand the furore surrounding Robbie Keane's dismissal against Birmingham last week. For me, there's nothing wrong with '4th official consultation', or 'Dowd syndrome' as it will hopefully be labelled. Manchester City have lost their last three matches at White Hart Lane and Elano is a serious doubt: 6/5 for Spurs is practically a gift.

Everton are a confident call at home to the travelsick Fulham. The Cottagers have never won a league match at Goodison Park in their history, and their six Premier League visits have earned them a total of zero points. I'd sooner leave my grandmother unsupervised with Wayne Rooney than miss out on the Toffeemen at 3/5.

David Bentley has been likened to David Beckham. I've been left completely flummoxed by this comparison; i can only assume he has a girlfriend who can't sing. I'll be screaming like a bint if West Ham hold Blackburn to a draw at 11/4.

Apparently, prison holds no fear for Joey Barton; I guess he's looking forward to the family reunion. I'm embracing the 10/11 for a Newcastle win over Birmingham like a long-lost law-abiding brother.

Wigan are in a real fight at the wrong end of the table, which may explain why they appointed a manager who looks like he's gone 12 rounds with Mike Tyson. Wigan have now gone 12 matches without a win; I'll be punching the bag if Bolton fail to land the spoils at 11/10.

If Manchester United v Derby was a boxing match, it would never get sanctioned; unless it was a Frank Warren promotion. Fergie is always up for the fight; I just hope his Dad can follow his lead. I'll get a few rounds in after United slam the Rams at 1/7.

When Ashley Cole retires from football, he should consider a career in the fight game. It wouldn't surprise me in the slightest to see the combative defender end up in the ring. I'd advise Frank Lampard against considering pugilism though; he'd struggle to find an opponent in his weight class. You won't have to wait too long for a return if you take 1/5 for a Chelsea win over Sunderland.

I believe Ricky Hatton can emerge victorious from his mega-fight with Floyd Mayweather. Ricky has the skill, the belief, the intensity and the heart, and even more importantly, the most talked about hook since Abu Hamza. The 'Pretty Boy' has an impressive record, but he struggles when opponents bring the fight to him; and Ricky will be all over him like the old bill on Harry Redknapp. For me, this is a 60/40 fight; making 9/5 about the Hitman particularly agreeable.

I had quite a respectable record when I used to fight at junior school. I remember beating up the toughest kid in Year 6: that'll teach him for questioning last week's accumulator. Aston Villa, Newcastle, Bolton and Tottenham form a 15/1 accer that will land a knockout blow to the bookies.


Weekend Betting:


Aston Villa v Portsmouth Saturday 8th December 12:45 Live on Sky

Aston Villa 6/5
Draw 23/10
Portsmouth 13/5

Get on: Aston Villa

Match Special:
John Carew to score with a header 5/1

Chelsea v Sunderland Saturday 8th December 15:00

Chelsea 1/5
Draw 6/1
Sunderland 20/1

Get on: Chelsea

Match Special:
Joe Cole to score at any time 9/4

Everton v Fulham Saturday 8th December 15:00

Everton 3/5
Draw 11/4
Fulham 11/2

Get on: Everton

Match Special:
Everton to win and keep a clean sheet 17/10

Man Utd v Derby Saturday 8th December 15:00

Man Utd 1/7
Draw 15/2
Derby 25/1

Get on: Man Utd

Match Special:
Ronaldo to score direct from a free kick 8/1

Newcastle v Birmingham Saturday 8th December 15:00

Newcastle 10/11
Draw 12/5
Birmingham 10/3

Get on: Newcastle

Match Special:
Milner to score the first goal 12/1

Reading v Liverpool Saturday 8th December 17:15 Live on Setanta

Reading 5/1
Draw 13/5
Liverpool 8/11

Get on: Liverpool

Match Special:
Liverpool to score four or more goals 7/1

Middlesbrough v Arsenal Sunday 9th December 13:30 Live on Setanta

Middlesbrough 13/2
Draw 3/1
Arsenal 8/15

Get on: Arsenal

Match Special:
Arsenal to win by two or more goals 6/4

Bolton v Wigan Sunday 9th December 15:00

Bolton 11/10
Draw 12/5
Wigan 3/1

Get on: Bolton

Match Special:
Anelka to score the only goal of the game 25/1

Tottenham v Man City Sunday 9th December 15:00

Tottenham 6/5
Draw 12/5
Man City 3/1

Get on: Tottenham
Tottenham to score three or more goals 9/2

Match Special:

Blackburn v West Ham Sunday 9th December 16:00 Live on Sky

Blackburn 5/6
Draw 11/4
West Ham 7/2

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Solano to score in a 1-1 draw 57/1





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