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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2012-01-14 01:03:11Premiership Weekend Betting tips
14th - 16th January 2012
14th January 2012Aston Villa (2.5) Draw (3.3) Everton (3.2)
I am surprised that Everton are 1 point ahead of Villa. Villa, at least on paper have the better team. On New Years Eve, they came from a goal down at Stanford Bridge to beat Chelsea 3-1. They do have pace in their side. Loan signing, Robbie Keane should play some part in this game too. Everton lost their game in hand to Spurs 2-0. They just don't have the attacking players to trouble anyone. The previous game, they lost at home to Bolton 2-1. They are averaging just a goal a game. Their loan signing Landon Donavan may get them some goals I suppose. I am still going to be backing Villa in this game though. With Villa being the home side and Everton not offering much at all, 2.5 is great price for the Villa win at Bet Victor
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Blackburn (3) Draw (3.4) Fulham (2.5)
I thought that Blackburn were excellent against Manchester United when they went to Old Trafford and won 3-2. I thought, finally, they get the result that their performance deserved. Yakubu is scoring for fun nowadays. This could be captain Chris Samba's last game. Fulham managed to get a late win against Arsenal last league game. They got their goals when Arsenal were down to 10 men but the goals were coming before then. Fulham are a different beat away from home though. They still can't win away from home. They are 1-5-4 away from the Cottage and the win was against Wigan. Too tricky to call the 1X2 market. I guess the home win is where the value is but I think there is more value on the unders/overs. Blackburn haven't kept a clean sheet all season so I expect Fulham to score. 75% of Blackburn's league games have been overs and you are getting 1.95 at bet365 for over 2.5 goals.
Chelsea (1.44) Draw (4.75) Sunderland (9)
I am still not convinced about Chelsea. They have been so inconsistent this season and uncharacteristically losing at home. Last home league game they lost to Villa 3-1 after being a goal up. Their defence is really shaky at the moment and they aren't scoring enough goals. The 4-0 against Portsmouth in the cup looks better than it was, it was 1-0 for most of the game and the last 3 goals came in the last 5 minutes putting some sparkle to the score but it was a hard fought win for them. O'Neil seems to have turned Sunderland around. They have only lost 1 of their last 6 and that was against high flying Spurs 1-0. They managed to take all 3 points off Manchester City and demolished Wigan 4-1 last away game. I don't think Chelsea are worth backing at even money never mind this 1.44. Sunderland at 9.0 at Betvictor looks tasty or slightly safer, 6.5 draw no bet at bet365.
Liverpool (1.44) Draw (4.5) Stoke (9)
Liverpool are another one of the top sides that are inconsistent. Hopefully, with Gerrard back to full fitness they can get some type of run together. They have been a punters nightmare this season. They played a tough game against City 3 days ago which will no doubt be worse than if they had the week off like Stoke have had. Stoke have been on a nice run recently. They lost 3-0 at City, when they didn't turn up but apart from that they have won 5 and drawn 2 in the last 8. Stoke are no pushovers away from home any more either, they have won 4 games away which is exactly the same number of games as they have won at the Britannia. Betting wise, this is one to skip. Liverpool have drawn at home to lesser opposition than Stoke and at 1.44 its not really worth it. I think they will win but 1.44 is not good enough for me to risk anything on it.
Manchester United (1.17) Draw (8.5) Bolton (19)
Manchester United silenced their doubters with an impressive 3-2 win over City in the FA Cup. City having to play with 10 men for most of the game and second half, they were hanging on a bit. It just shows that when Rooney is playing, United play better. Last home game, they unexpectedly lost 3-2 to Blackburn. Fergie took a gamble with the team selection and it didn't pay off. He'll make no mistake this time. Bolton have won their last 2 away games against Blackburn and Everton. I don't think they'll make it 3 in a row. Last time these met it was 5-0 at the Reebok. I think they'll be happy with a 2-0 loss here. I suppose at 1.17 its not really worth having as a single so maybe double it with something else.
Tottenham (1.3) Draw (6) Wolverhampton (13)
No surprise that Spurs are red hot favourites for this game. Level on points with Manchester United and 3 points behind City, they are real title contenders this season. They have the players that can win in style and win by grinding out the 1-0 results. Wolves are still in deep trouble. 3 losses and 3 draws in their last 6. Depending on how other results go, they could find themselves in the relegation zone after this game. I don't think they have a chance here and the 1.3 on Spurs should be snapped up.
West Brom (2.15) Draw (3.6) Norwich (3.8)
West Brom have lost 2 on the bounce now 1-0 against Everton and Spurs. They should have a few players coming back for this game though so maybe we'll see the side that drew at home 0-0 against City and beat Newcastle and Blackburn away. Its hard to tell because they have been so inconsistent. Norwich have been on a good run of late. Their only loss in the last 6 was at home to Spurs. They got respectable draws against Everton and Wolves away and also beat QPR. Looking at the odds, there is certainly more value opposing West Brom than backing them. Maybe 2 away wins on the bounce is too much for Norwich, so I chose the draw. Its 3.5 at Betfred.
15th January 2012
Newcastle (1.83) Draw (3.6) QPR (5)
Newcastle look like they have found form again after the slight blip at the end of last calendar year. It was looking like their form was going south but wins against Manchester United in the league and Blackburn in the FA Cup show that they are still a force to be reckoned with. For this game though, they are missing 2 of their best players in Demba Ba and Cheick Tiote. They'll be big misses. Its Mark Hughes first game in charge and there are high expectations. Joey Barton is out but that's not that much of a miss. He may be captain but he hasn't been particularly stunning at QPR. I am not convinced that Hughes is a top class manager. He draws too many games. I think he'll see a draw here as a good result. Its not like O'Neil where he expects his team to win. For that reason, I'll go for the draw here. Newcastle are underpriced considering their absentees. The draw is 3.6 at bet365.
Swansea (5) Draw (3.75) Arsenal (1.83)
Swansea are a good run of form. Only 1 defeat in the last 6 and that was a 1-0 away to Everton. New Years Eve they got a deserved draw against Spurs and then followed that up with a 2-0 away win at Villa. Swansea play attractive football which may be their downfall against Arsenal. To beat Arsenal, you got to play ugly. If you try to play pretty football, they'll more than likely beat you. Saying that, this Arsenal team is nothing when Van Persie is not in goal scoring form. They may have signed Henry back on a short term loan and he score a goal. But they struggled to break down a team a division below them in the Carling Cup without van Persie. I don't see any value in the away win here. Spurs were around this price and didn't get a win. The only team that has got a win at Swansea was Manchester United and that was a 1-0. The value is with Swansea. Its 5.0 at Totesport.
16th January 2012
Wigan (10) Draw (4.75) Manchester City (1.44)
Wigan busted a few coupons before Christmas with a couple of draws at home to Chelsea and Liverpool. They were spanked last home game 4-1 by Sunderland though and then an alternative side were beaten at Swindon in the FA Cup. That just shows how precarious premiership survival is for Wigan. City have had a bit of a bad run. They lost at home to Manchester United in the FA Cup and then lost to Liverpool in the first leg of the Carling Cup. They lost to Sunderland and only managed a 0-0 draw at West Brom. Sandwiched between that was a 3-0 league win against Liverpool. Teams have learnt to just put 10 men behind the ball and City have had problems breaking teams down that play like that. They miss their captain, Kompany as well as the players off at the African Cup of nations. I really don't see them having any problems here though. Wigan are a really poor side. You can get 1.44 for City at William Hill.
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