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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-09-09 20:09:50Premiership Weekend Betting tips
10th - 12th September 2011.
10th September 2011
Arsenal (1.36) Draw (5.2) Swansea City (11)
Wenger would have been glad for the international break after the 8-2 thrashing at Old Trafford. I think everyone saw that coming. I do feel for Wenger a bit because he can't pay the wages to attract the very best players. He managed to get Arteta who I think will be great plus a few other new signings. Swansea still haven't managed a goal yet this season in the league. They do look very light weight up front. Its a bad time for them to visit Arsenal. Good teams usually bounce back well after thrashings and even though Arsenal aren't as strong as previous Arsenal sides, they should be able to beat the newly promoted side. If not, I am sure its over for them getting top 4 at this stage of the season. 1.36 isn't the greatest of prices but I am pretty sure any other season and Arsenal would have been about 1.2. 1.36 is OK considering the circumstances at bet365.
Everton (2.2) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (4)
Odds are drifting out on Everton. No surprise there. They were extremely lucky to beat Blackburn 1-0 with a late penalty and Blackburn missed 2 of their own. Since then they have lost Arteta and Beckford but have signed Drenthe and Stracqualursi who I have never heard of. Villa failed to break down a stubborn Wolves side last round. Thats the second 0-0 of the season so far for them. Bent should be fit to play after missing the International games through injury. They have signed Jenas and Hutton too who could make their debuts. I am going to have to go for Villa here. Everton were poor last home game and lost 1-0 to QPR. 4.0 is a big price but I will go for the safer option of draw no bet. Its 2.75 at VC Bet.
Manchester City (1.2) Draw (8) Wigan (22)
City really showed what they can do with the 5-1 demolition of Spurs last round. Previously, you could say that Swansea and Bolton weren't really tough opposition but Spurs are decent opponents. Just looking at their side and how they are playing, you'd be hard pressed to make a case for anyone to beat them this season. Wigan are unbeaten this season but they have only played the 3 Premiership new boys. I can see this being a murdering. 1.2 at PaddyPower for the City win is printing money. I am actually going to go for City to win to nil though at Ladbrokes. Its 1.91. I can't see Wigan troubling that City defence at all.
Stoke (3.5) Draw (3.35) Liverpool (2.31)
Stoke surpised me last round in beating West Brom 1-0. That was their first win of the season too. They have since signed Crouch, Palacios and Jerome. Their side is looking strong and add to the fact that the Britannia is usually a fortress anyway, any team is going to struggle here. Chelsea only managed a 0-0 on the first day of the season. Liverpool have resigned Bellamy which will add some pace up front for them. He looks like he's be on the bench though and will come on if needed. Liverpool have looked strong this season from what I've seen of them. In terms of betting, I don't know how to call this. Would any of the results surprise me? Probably not. One to skip then. I can't see a decent betting angle.
Sunderland (5.7) Draw (3.8) Chelsea (1.74)
Sunderland are lacking goals. Last 2 games ended 0-0 and 1-0 loss. They have signed Arsenal's Bendtner on loan though. Bendtner scored a couple of goals midweek so should be full of confidence. Its not like he needs it though. He's all been a little full of himself. Only time will tell whether Wenger is right or wrong to loan him out this season. Chelsea were a little fortunate to beat Norwich at home. Norwich gave them a good game and it was only a sending off and a penalty that gave them the points. Thats the second fortunate win they've had this season and the other game they played was a 0-0 at Stoke. Mata and Lukaku made quite a difference to the side so maybe one of those will start in for the injured Drogba. I still have my doubts about this Chelsea side. I have doubts about the Sunderland side too though. I 'll leave this game too.
Wolverhampton (3.15) Draw (3.45) Tottenham (2.5)
Decent start to the season for Wolves. Johnson in defence is proving to be really effective. They have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 2 games. Looks like they'll keep the same side that have gotten them 7 points from 9. This will be their first big test though. Spurs have probably the worst and unluckiest start to the season possible. After their opening day fixture with Everton was called off, they have been thrashed by both Manchester sides. They are rock bottom of the league due to the -7 goal difference. Adebayor and Parker should start. Another tricky one that I wouldn't like to call.
Bolton (9) Draw (4.75) Manchester United (1.44)
Great start to the season for Bolton with the 4-0 win over QPR but since then they have had a tough time with a visit from City and an away trip to Liverpool in which they lost. Ngog and Kakuta have strengthened the strike force and Boyata the defence. Manchester United looked unstoppable last game against Arsenal. They are a bit different away from home though. I remember sweating my bet on the opening weekend of the season when United left it very late. No Wellbeck but Hernandez will be back so it of no concern. Rooney looked a bit rubbish in the midweeek international so hopefully he'll be back to top form. 1.45 for the United win is a little short but I really can't argue with that price. City and United look a class above everyone else this season so unless they do slip up, thats all you are going to get all season on United. Its 1.44 at VC Bet.
11th September 2011
Norwich (2.63) Draw (3.4) West Brom (2.95)
Norwich scuppered my Chelsea to win to nil bet last time out with the 3-1 defeat at Chelsea. They played really well and they could well have got a point from the Bridge if it were not for the late penalty and sending off. The 3-1 scoreline flattered Chelsea a little bit. West Brom played well against Stoke and were unlucky to lose. Stoke scored with their only shot on target. Thats been the story of West Brom this season though. Played well and unlucky to lose. Odemwingie should be back and if his form is anything like last season's he'll score. In terms of the 1X2 market, I don't really have any strong opinions on this one. It's one I'll skip.
Fulham (1.75) Draw (3.75) Blackburn (6)
Disappointing start to the season for Fulham. Maybe playing in the Europa League has affected them. This will only be their second game at home though were they are usually very strong. They have just signed a new £10.6m striker in Ruiz. Blackburn were really unlucky to not beat Everton last round. They missed 2 penalties and if the game would have finished 3-0 to Blackburn, Everton would not have had any complaints. Yakubu has signed for Blackburn which could end up being a good move if he returns to his form of 3 years ago. Looking at the odds, Fulham look far too short. I know there is a perception of strength at home for Fulham but they also do draw a lot too. I'd be wanting even money at least to be backing Fulham. I think the draw offers the best value at 3.75 at VC Bet.
12th September 2011
Queens Park Rangers (2.50) Draw (3.3) Newcastle (3.13)
QPR lost to Wigan 2-0 last game. They have strengthen a lot since that game though bringing in some experienced Premiership players. Barton, Wright-Philips, Young and Ferdinand are all proven Premiership players. They have a fighting chance now. Before then, I had the feeling that the squad was just a good Championship one but with the new money Warnock has signed the players that could keep QPR up. Newcastle have had a cracking start to the season and I cannot for the life of me work out how. On paper, they should be one of the relegation candidates but their record is 1 draw and 2 wins. They still lack a decent striker but still are managing to get the wins. I think their luck or whatever will run out this game though. Its QPR for me. 2.5 at PaddyPower.
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