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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2012-02-10 18:45:54Premiership Weekend Betting tips
11th - 12th February 2012
11th February 2012Manchester United (1.95) Draw (3.6) Liverpool (4.5)
Depending on how you look at things, you could say last week's result for United was marvellous or a disaster. 3-0 down and staring defeat in eyes, United come back to make it 3-3 with the help of 2 penalties. The disaster part is that they allowed themselves to get 3-0 down against a reasonably OK Chelsea side. They dominated for large parts of the game but still found themselves 3-0 down. Liverpool played out a 0-0 draw at Anfield. I suppose that's a reasonable result at home to Spurs but it is just too many draws at home. Suarez is back now and it'll be interesting to see how him and Evra get on. These teams met a couple of weeks ago at Anfield. Liverpool won the game 2-1 but United were without Ferdinand and Rooney. Backing United at home has been a bit of gold mine for punters this year. I can't see Liverpool getting anything from this. United are 1.95 at William Hill.
Blackburn (2.4) Draw (3.4) QPR (3.2)
I expect a strong performance here after the thumping against Arsenal. I've noticed that teams generally put in an extra performance after a thumping and 7-1 a the Emirates is a thumping. Yakubu is back after his 3 game ban. QPR were cruising against Wolves when Cisse got sent off. They were 1-0 up and dominating. Wolves made the extra man count and came to back win 2-1. They would have easily won that game if it was 11 vs 11. Cisse will be suspended for this game. Betting wise, I have no strong opinion on this. I would say home win at a push because of the home advantage, need to make up for last week and questionable QPR form. Blackburn are 2.4 at bet365.
Bolton (2.05) Draw (3.5) Wigan (3.9)
Bolton are a poor side that are struggling at the bottom. There are some signs of hope though in that they have managed 5 points from their last 3 home games, including a 3-1 win against Liverpool. They have failed to score in the last 2 games though. Wigan managed to halt with run of 4 defeats on the bounce with a 1-1 against Everton last week. Possibly a turning point but I doubt it. They just don't have the players to compete. They could get something here though as Bolton are one of the poorer sides in the league. I think the smart money is on the home win though. It's 2.05 at PaddyPower.
Everton (3.4) Draw (3.4) Chelsea (2.3)
Everton has slowly but surely been picking up form. The beat City at home a couple of weeks ago but only could manage a draw away to struggling Wigan. Everton have traditionally been stronger in the second half of the season after a slow start. Cahill will be back for this game. Chelsea will be scratching their heads on how they managed to be 3-0 up against Manchester United and then finish the game at 3-3. They were getting dominated and it was an own goal, a wonder goal and a set piece that saw them 3-0 up. I wasn't impressed with the team at all though. Cole will be back after suspension as well as Lampard and Obi Mikel after injuries. That will strengthen the team but I don't think enough to be able to get all 3 points here. Everton are getting to the stage in the season where they are hard to beat. This game looks like one of those nailed 1-1 draws. The draw is 3.3 at Bet Victor.
Fulham (2.05) Draw (3.5) Stoke (4)
Fulham come in to this game off a routine 3-0 defeat to Manchester City. No shame in that and Fulham have struggled away from home all season. Its at the Cottage where they traditionally pick up their points but that's not been the greatest this year going 5-4-3. Bobby Zamora replacement Pavel Pogrebnyak will probably make his debut in this game. Stoke have lost their last 3 on the bounce in the league. Last week you could say they were hard done by when Huth was harshly sent off just before half time. They must also have half an eye on the visit from Valencia on Thursday. Home win for me. Its 2.05 at PaddyPower.
Sunderland (3.6) Draw (3.5) Arsenal (2.15)
There are some signs that the O'Neil factor may be running out for Sunderland. They made hard work of defeating a weakened Leicester side in the FA Cup and needed extra time to do it. They may have beat Stoke 1-0 last weekend but that was Stoke playing the whole second half with 10 men. Arsenal taught Blackburn a lesson last weekend. They were struggling a bit but when Blackburn went down to 10 men, it was vintage Arsenal. That was Arsenal's first league win this calendar year. I think it will give them the confidence to push up the league. They are in 6th and are in serious danger of missing out on the Champions League. I am not usually a fan of backing Arsenal nowadays but I feel that Arsenal are under achieving a little and Sunderland are over achieving and something has to give. Arsenal are 2.15 at PaddyPower.
Swansea (1.91) Draw (3.5) Norwich (4.5)
Only 1 defeat in 7 for Swansea and that was to the resurgent Sunderland side. They managed to beat Arsenal and hold Chelsea and Spurs to draws. At home, only Manchester United have come away with all 3 points. Only 1 defeat in 6 for Norwich and that was to Sunderland too. Both these newly promoted teams are doing exceptionally well. In terms of the game, home advantage swings it for me. It'll be sweet revenge for the 3-1 in the reverse fixture earlier in the season. Swansea are 1.91 at Bet Victor
Tottenham (1.53) Draw (4.5) Newcastle (7.5)
Spurs could only manage a draw last game against Liverpool. All things considered that's a good result. Redknapp was still in court and Anfield isn't the easiest of places to go. Defoe and Lennon are back fit for this game. Newcastle kept up their challenge for 4th place with a good win over Villa. Ba scoring his return and Cisse getting the winner. That is a strike force any Premiership side would be proud of. I've stopped thinking that the bubble is going to burst for Newcastle. They are up in 5th place on merit and I should imagine they'll stay up there all season. I am not too keen on the odds on a Spurs win. 1.53 is a little low to me. I got burnt heavily a few weeks ago when Spurs only managed the 1-1 draw against Wolves so am not overly keen to be backing them at 1.53 against a better team. These teams drew 2-2 in the reverse fixture this season and I can see another draw here, well maybe not but a draw at 4.5 at Betfred is much more appealing that the home win at 1.53.
12th February 2012
Wolverhampton (2.6) Draw (3.3) West Brom (3.1)
Wolves were somewhat fortunate to beat QPR last round. 1-0 down and up against the ropes, they can thank Cisse for getting himself sent off for their victory. Without that, they would surely have lost. That's the story of Wolves season. Overall they are 5-6-13 with 2 of those wins in the first 2 games. West Brom are another inconsistent team that are struggling more than I thought they would. I suppose there's no shame in losing to Swansea but their home form is worryingly bad. Good job for them this is an away fixture where they do better. 5-3-4 away from home vs 2-2-8 at home. Tricky game to call but I am leaning more towards the away win. West Brom draw no bet is 2.2 at bluesquare.
Aston Villa (5.5) Draw (3.75) Manchester City (1.73)
Aston Villa lost to Newcastle last round. I suppose there is no shame in losing to Newcastle at home nowadays. On paper they have the side that could cause City some problems. They seem to be a team under achieving though. Previously, they let QPR get 2-0 up before they started playing. Agbonlahor could be back which is great as I think he's their best player at the moment. City managed a routine 3-0 win against Fulham last weekend. With Kompany expected back in the side this weekend, they are almost back up to full strength. Still the Toure brothers and Balotelli are out but they have enough replacements. Kompany in defence is the main man. I fully expect City to win this. They have struggled away from home recently but I can't see them dropping points here. City are 1.73 at PaddyPower.
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