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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2012-02-25 03:31:20Premiership Weekend Betting tips
25th - 26th February 2012
25th February 2012Chelsea (1.33) Draw (5.5) Bolton (11)
Bad times for Chelsea and their manager. Villas Boas has lost control of the players and it seems that some of the senior players are revolting. The team selection for the Champions League game against Napoli was bizarre and they deservedly lost 3-1. Their last win was in the FA Cup a month ago against QPR. Bolton sit in the relegation zone. They could have clawed themselves out of it by beating bottom of the table Wigan but they managed to lose that 2-1 at home. They did manage a draw with Arsenal and beat Liverpool recently so there is some chance they could cause an upset here. I definitely wouldn't be backing Chelsea at 1.33. I do like the look of Bolton +1 on the 1X2 handicap at 3.75 at Skybet. That covers the draw and the Bolton win. With Skybet, new customers get a totally free £10 bet too. Click here to sign up.
Newcastle (1.62) Draw (4) Wolverhampton (6.5)
I for one didn't expect the collapse of Newcastle at Spurs, losing 5-0. Spurs are one of those teams that can give out those beatings and I think Newcastle played them on the wrong day. Nothing wrong with the way Newcastle are playing and they are only 1 point behind Chelsea and 3 above Liverpool. Wolves sacked Mick McCarthy after the 5-1 thrashing at the hands of West Brom. The trouble is that they have no one ready to take over. I don't think anyone wants the job. 1.62 looks really tight for Newcastle but if you look at the league positions and the teams around them, is 1.62 actually bet of the week? If this was Chelsea or Liverpool would you even get 1.4 for the home win? I doubt it. It's 1.62 at PaddyPower.
QPR (2.63) Draw (3.3) Fulham (2.88)
Still no real Mark Hughes bounce for QPR. Only 1 league win for QPR under Hughes and that was to a struggling Wigan side. They did fight back from 3-0 down last round to make it 3-2. Good job for QPR they are facing a team that can't seem to win away from home. Fulham are 1-5-6 away from home and they even managed to lose 3-1 to a 10 man Blackburn side. Bookies are struggling to separate these sides. I am too. I'd go with the draw if pushed because it's the biggest price but I have not strong opinion on this game.
West Brom (2.5) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3)
West Brom have the worst home record in the league. For some strange reason their away form is much better. Its 2-2-8 vs 6-3-4. They thrashed Wolves 5-1 last round but the previous round they lost 2-1 to Swansea. Maybe this team can't handle the pressure at home. Sunderland slipped up at home to Arsenal last round, losing 2-1 but made up for that in the cup winning 2-0. I think that was partly due to Arsenal not bouncing back after being humiliated by AC Milan. Still O'Neil is working his magic and Sunderland are 3rd in the recent form table behind Everton and Man City. If there is going to be a winner in this game its going to be Sunderland. I think it's a great price 3.0 at William Hill.
Wigan (2.8) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (2.75)
Wigan gave themselves a bit of a lifeline last round with a 2-1 victory over struggling rivals Bolton. They are another side that have struggled at home this season. Only win at home and that was near the start of the season against QPR who were in disarray at that point. They did manage to hold an in form Everton team 1-1 the previous round though so there is some hope. Villa are a side that shouldn't be where they are in the league. With their team, they should be top half easily. They are 8 points clear of the bottom pack so there is breathing room there. In terms of this game, I really can't pick a winner. Any of the results wouldn't surprise me. As the draw is the best price, I'd go for that. Its 3.3 at Totesport but its probably best to skip this one.
Manchester City (1.2) Draw (8) Blackburn (19)
The Toure brothers are back from the African Cup of Nations which will boost City's already strong squad. They've found their scoring boots again too beating Porto home and away in their last 2 games. Blackburn saw off QPR last round but it was a nervy affair. Even at 3-1 up, you could see them blowing it. Captain Chris Samba won't be playing so he'll be a big miss. I can't see Blackburn getting anything here apart from a good spanking. Price for over 2.5 goals is 1.4 at Bluesqaure. Its one of the lowest I've ever seen it. That preferable to the 1.2 straight home win but I am going to go with City to win to nil at Ladbrokes. I can't see Blackburn getting enough of the ball to be able to score.
26th February 2012
Arsenal (2.6) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (2.9)
Just when you think Arsenal have turned the corner and would hold on to that 4th spot, they turn out two of the worst performances of the season. The 4-0 defeat in Milan was humiliating and then to follow that up with a 2-0 loss in the cup to Sunderland makes me think that Arsenal haven't got the skills to hold on to 4th spot. When Van Persie doesn't score they are in trouble. Last league game, Spurs outclassed Newcastle 5-0, really cementing that 3rd place. In the FA Cup they struggled a bit against Stevenage, probably do to the pitch and the weakened side. They'll be at full strength for this game though. There's going to be no better time for them to beat their arch rivals at the Emirates. Spurs are 2.9 at William Hill
Norwich (6.5) Draw (4.33) Manchester United (1.6)
Norwich have exceeded all expectations this season and are looking safe already on 35 points. Something major would have to happen for them to go down. Paul Lambert got a bit of stick for resting players in the FA Cup and going out to Leicester. No worries about them putting out their strongest side this weekend. For United, the main factor is whether Rooney plays. Without him, they look an ordinary team. They managed to scrape through to the next stage of the Europa League despite losing at home 2-1 to Ajax. That side was weakened too and I do expect Fergusson to put out a much stronger team here. I remember the reverse fixture at Old Trafford. Norwich could have easily won that game and United would have had no complaints. I don't fancy backing United at 1.6. I'd rather be on Norwich at 6.5 but to play it safe, I'll go for Norwich +1 on the Asian Handicap. It's 2.02 at bet365. I can't see United winning by more than 1 goal here and returns stakes.
Stoke (2.25) Draw (3.4) Swansea (3.6)
Bad times for Stoke. 4 losses on the bounce in the league. Their last home win was back in December against Spurs. They lost midweek to Valencia 1-0 and are out of the Europa League. They've done badly after Europa League games this season too, so the signs aren't good for this game. Swansea slipped up at home last round to Norwich. Maybe Norwich are better than I though. Swansea have started winning games away from home. A couple of months ago, that didn't seem possible but they have beat Villa and West Brom away from home. I think I will go with Swansea here but the draw is also a possibility. Swansea are 2.05 +0.25 at bet365 on the Asian Handicap. Basically, its pays out at 2.05 if Swansea win or 1.525 if it's a draw.
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