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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2012-03-03 02:33:53Premiership Weekend Betting tips
3rd -4th March 2012
3rd March 2012Liverpool (2.1) Draw (3.5) Arsenal (3.9)
Liverpool will be on a high after lifting the Carling Cup. The needed extra time and penalties to do it though. I would have expected a quality Premiership side to have won it in normal time against a Championship side. Looks like Gerrard will be missing this game after coming off injured midweek in England's friendly. Its not too bad though as he hasn't been o n top form. Arsenal will have felt like they had won a cup final after beating Spurs 5-2 after being down 2-0. Just a reminder that even though it's a weak Arsenal team, they have it in them to give teams a good beating. Van Persie is a doubt which is troubling as he's Arsenal's goal machine. I can't believe the price on Liverpool here. 2.1 is a bit too short for me. I'd be wanting in the 2.3/2.4 range. At home they are 4-8-0 and have not beaten any of the top sides here. This game has the 1-1 look to it. The draw is 3.5 at Bet Victor.
Blackburn (2.4) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.2)
Blackburn were thrashed at City last weekend. Nothing really lost though, as all teams down at the bottom will get thrashed by City. The do sit in the relegation zone in goal difference but have shown that they can scrap and get some good results. David Dunn will be back for them. Villa will be without Darren Bent for the season and with Robbie Keane gone, its going to be tough for them to score goals. Gabby Agbonlahor has gone off the boil a bit. Even though there is an 8 point gap, Villa are in danger of getting pulled in to the relegation battle. With Blackburn having the home advantage and Villa having no goal threat, I'll be backing Blackburn in this game. Its 2.4 at bet365.
Manchester City (1.14) Draw (9.5) Bolton (23)
This is one of those games where if I had lots of money I could afford to lose I'd stick it on Manchester City. It's like a return over 90 minutes. I bet Greek bonds don't pay that much and City are more likely to win this than Greece to pay back its debts in full. Bet Victor caters for the high roller and is paying out 1.14 for the City win. I did see a nice bet though for your normal punter. Coral have a market called how many teams to score. Choices are 0, 1 and 2. The price for 1 is even money which is almost exactly the same bet as City to win to nil but you also get Bolton to win to nil built in. The price on City to win to nil is generally around 1.8 for this game so the 1 team to score market at even money is a steal at Coral.
QPR (3.2) Draw (3.3) Everton FC (2.4)
No Mark Hughes factor for QPR. They'd have been better sticking with Warnock. Last weekend, they managed to lose at home to Fulham 'Can't win away from home' FC. To be fair, QPR did have to play 2 thirds of the game with 10 men. Discipline has been a big problem this season for them and no doubt they'd have more points if it wasn't for players getting sent off and then being suspended. Everton are on a decent run of form now. They managed to beat City and Chelsea at home and if you count the FA Cup, there are 6 unbeaten. Everton are like that. After Christmas they tend to get their act together. I am not convinced they should be 2.4 though. They were around this price when they failed to beat Wigan. I suppose QPR are playing even worse than Wigan are at the moment. I'll give Everton another change. They can bet backed at 2.4 at PaddyPower.
Stoke (1.91) Draw (3.6) Norwich (4.5)
Stoke stopped their slide in the league with a 2-0 win over Swansea last weekend. Now they are out of the Europa League they can concentrate on the Premier League and FA Cup. Defender Robert Huth will be back thus solidifying their defence. They are 5-4-4 at home this season so not the fortress it once was. Norwich are on a fantastic run. They were unlucky to lose so late on against Manchester United last weekend. Previously, they went to Swansea and took all 3 points and that's a much harder place to win at than the Britannia. Stoke are far too short for my liking here. Odds on is a joke. Norwich at 4.5 at Bet Victor is much better value.
West Brom (4.33) Draw (3.5) Chelsea (2)
9 goals in the last 2 games for West Brom. A nice 5-1 away win at Wolves and then an even better 4-0 home win against in form Sunderland. They're playing their best football ever this season. Odemwingie is bang in form. For Chelsea, I fear that last week's 3-0 win over Bolton was just papering over the cracks. Villas Boas has lost the dressing room and with some tough fixtures coming up, I think he could be gone by the end of the season. The backbone of Cole, Lampard and Essien started against Bolton and should do so again. I am weary about backing Chelsea away from home against anyone nowadays but especially so against a team that looks like its hitting form. However, it is rare you get even money for Chelsea away from home against West Brom. It depends on whether you think Chelsea have turned the corner or not. Personally, I think goals are the way to play this one. Over 2.5 goals is 1.95 at bet365. If Chelsea do win it, they'll have to score 2 at least.
Wigan (2.5) Draw (3.3) Swansea (3.1)
Wigan are on a little mini run here. Unbeaten in 3 is the best run of form they have had all season. They are struggling to score goals though, with an average of less than 1 goal a game at home. Last weekend they drew 0-0 to Villa. There were some signs of them improving but they just couldn't put away their chances. Swansea have lost their last 2. They were out muscled at Stoke last weekend. Traditionally, they have struggled to score away from home with an average of less than a goal a game. All this points to under 2.5 goals. Its not actually too bad a price at 1.75 at Bet Victor. I was expecting around the 1.67 mark. I can't see there being many goals at all.
4th March 2012
Newcastle (2.2) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.75)
Newcastle were cruising last week against Wolves, leading 2-0 at the break. They managed to blow it all and ended up finishing 2-2. Unusually for them at home where they are 7-4-2. When they get a lead, they keep on to it. Previously they did get a 5-0 thrashing from Spurs. Could this be the beginning of the slide for Newcastle? I've thought that a few times but they've always bounced back. The O'Neil factor seems to have worn off now. The 4-0 defeat at West Brom was their heaviest defeat of the season. I suppose it had to happen sometime. O'Neil can't change the fact he's got an average set of players. It is a derby though and I think the players will be up for it. Results wise its tricky. I am thinking the draw at 3.4 at Skybet. New customers get £10 free no deposit. Click here.
Fulham (1.62) Draw (4.1) Wolverhampton (6.5)
A couple of good wins have put Fulham in mid-table now. They even managed an away win at QPR. New signing Mahamadou Diarra from Real Madrid could start this game. That Pogrebnyak has settle in well scoring a goal in each of his 2 games. Wolves came back from 2-0 down at Newcastle to get a 2-2 draw. You could call it new manager syndrome. Sometimes teams get that bounce when a new manager takes over. Terry Connor will be hoping so anyway. In terms of betting, the odds on the home win make Fulham unbackable. No way should Fulham be 1.62 against anyone in the Premiership at home. They are 6-4-3 meaning they have been winning just under half their games. Evens would be about right for a game like this for the home win. I think asking Wolves to win here is a bit much considering only, Everton, Spurs and Manchester United have won here. The draw it is then at 4.1 at Bet Victor
Tottenham (3) Draw (3.4) Manchester United (2.6)
I don't know what happened to Spurs last weekend. I was thinking that Arsenal were there for the taking and it should be a formality for them to get all 3 points but they managed to go from being 2-0 up to losing 5-2. Scott Parker is suspended but van der Vaart and Walker could recover from injuries. So code Ledley King but looking at him last week, they'd be better off with him injured. United were fortunate again last week against Norwich. That's twice now Norwich could have beaten United. It needed a stoppage time Giggs goal to get all 3 points. Rooney should be back for this game though. This is another tricky game to call. I would have expected the odds to be reversed though. Spurs are the home team and just a month ago were looking like serious title contenders. United were about this price to beat Arsenal and Spurs are better than Arsenal this year. That's pretty much swayed it for me. Spurs draw no bet is 2.1 at PaddyPower. They'll want to bounce back strong after that poor performance last weekend and the weekend before that at Stevenage.
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