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Football Betting Tips

by Ben, last updated 2012-03-10 09:45:43

 Premiership Weekend Betting tips

 10th - 12th March 2012

10th March 2012

Bolton (2.5) Draw (3.4) QPR (3.1)

Tough times for Bolton. 4 defeats on the bounce after looking like they were going to turn the corner. You could forgive the Manchester City and Chelsea losses but losing at home to Wigan was a massive blow. Kevin Davis will be back for this game so they'll be better up front. QPR aren't doing much better than Bolton. They at least managed to get a draw against and in form Everton last weekend. Strange because on paper, you'd expect them to be flying. They have a much better team than Bolton and Hughes is supposedly a world class manager. Personally, I don't rate Hughes. He's certainly no Martin O'Neil. I am going to go with the draw here. Its an early kick off and so I think goals will be hard to come by. Draw is also the best price. Its 3.4 at Bet Victor.

Aston Villa (2.5) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3)

Last time Villa won was 21st January. Since then its been 2 losses and 3 draws. No Bent but N'Zogbia is a decent enough replacement. They should stay up comfortably just on the basis that they are 8 points clear of the drop zone and there are 5 teams below them. Still not a good position considering the team they have. Fulham are on a 3 game winning streak, can they make it 4? I don't see why not. Their new signing Pavel Pogrebnyak managed a hat trick last weekend. They do save their best football for the home games but they did manage an away win at QPR a couple of weeks ago. I don't see them losing here but I also think they are more likely to draw than win. The draw is 3.3 at Skybet.

Chelsea (1.44) Draw (4.75) Stoke (10)

Fairly good start for Chelsea under new manager, Di Matteo. A 2-0 win against Birmingham in the FA Cup. Mata missed a penalty as well so it could have been better. We'll see now whether it was the manager holding Chelsea back or the players just not good enough. Torres certainly isn't good enough. Stoke are in their familiar mid table position after 2 home wins against Swansea and Norwich. They were going through a bad patch but those wins have made their position look a lot better. Betting wise, I can see a Chelsea win here. With AVB in charge, maybe I would have gone for the upset but the players have something to prove now and they have got some talent in that side. It's 1.44 at bluesquare.

Sunderland (4.1) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.05)

Sunderland were a tad unlucky not to get all 3 points at Newcastle last weekend. Newcastle equalised deep in to stoppage time. They had to play a third of the match with 10 men and then had Lee Cattermole sent off after the whistle. He'll miss this game as well as Sessegnon, who is their main goal scoring threat. Liverpool were equally unlucky not to beat Arsenal last weekend. Liverpool were much more threatening with the ball and always looked more likely to score. The post saved Arsenal on a couple of occasions and Liverpool missed a penalty too. Szczesny made some fantastic saves to keep Arsenal in it. I am actually really surprised at the odds here. No way should Liverpool be even money. Liverpool have only won 1 league game in the last 7 played and that was against a struggling Wolves side. Sunderland may have lost the O'Neil invincibility but they can still get results and they are the home side. If it weren't for the suspensions on the Sunderland side, I'd be on Sunderland strongly. I still will be but I'm not as happy as I would be if Sessengnon was up front. Sunderland win is 4.1 at Bet Victor
Wolverhampton (2.4) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (3.2)

Wolves took at a battering at the hands of Fulham last weekend. It was much different from the team that clawed their way back from 2-0 at Newcastle to draw 2-2. I personally think they are going down and they need to get ready for Championship football next season. Blackburn are level on points with Wolves at the bottom and could be joining them but I feel that they have a better squad and have a goal scorer in Yakubu. They have scored 8 more goals that Wolves this season. Usually when teams get a beating, they come back strong but I don't see anything in that Wolves side that makes me think they will this time. For me it's the draw or Blackburn. Blackburn +0.25 on the Asian Handicap is 1.85 at bet365

Everton FC (3) Draw (3.3) Tottenham (2.63)

Everton may have been fortunate to get a draw from QPR last weekend but that is 6 unbeaten in the league now. The last 2 home results have been exceptional with wins over Manchester City and Chelsea. It usually does take a while for Everton to get going but once they do, they are hard to beat. Spurs seems to have gone off the boil a little bit. I don't know how they lost to Manchester United last weekend though. They dominated all the statistics apart from the number of goals scored. United had 5 shots on target and scored 3 of them. Spurs had 8 shots as well 58% of the possession. They'll welcome back Parker, Bale and Van Der Vaart who were missing last weekend. Earlier on in the season making money was easy just betting on Spurs and backing against Everton. No as simple for this game though. I suppose, I am going to have to select the draw. None of the results would surprise me and the draw is the biggest price. Its 3.3 at Bet Victor.

11th March 2012
Manchester United (1.33) Draw (6) West Brom (12)

Bad times for United in Europe. Losing at home again is embarrassing not just for United but for the Premier League. Maybe United have been found out. They can play shockingly bad and win games in the Premiership. Last week against Spurs was lucky. I have no idea how at half time it was 1-0 United when Spurs dominated. West Brom have hit a bit of form. They saw off Sunderland and Chelsea in the last 2 home games. Odemwingie has found his form again. I can see an upset here. West Brom at 12.0 is a huge price. I certainly wouldn't be betting United at 1.33. West Brom are 12.0 at Betfred.

Swansea (7) Draw (4) Manchester City (1.67)

Good result for Swansea last weekend at a struggling Wigan. They usually struggle away from home but managed a good 2-0 win. At home they are tough to beat with a 5-6-2 record with defeats only to Manchester United and Norwich City by the single goal. City lost in Portugal midweek and more importantly, they may have lost Vincent Kompany due to injury. They struggled a bit when he was suspended earlier in the season. They don't have any players out at the African Cup of Nations this time though so they are still super strong. City have won their last 4 league games to nil. Its 2.6 this time at PaddyPower. I think that's a decent bet. I don't think Swansea will be able to score.

Norwich (1.91) Draw (3.7) Wigan (4.5)

Norwich have hit a small rough patch in the season for them. They have set a high standard though and this rough patch is nothing to worry about. A weakened Norwich got dumped out of the FA Cup, then a home loss to Manchester United and an away loss at Stoke. No shame in any of those losses. Their form before those games has been brilliant. Wigan won away at Bolton a month ago. Martinez was hoping that would kick start their season but its failed to. They have since drawn to Villa and lost 2-0 to Swansea. Their problem is that they don't score enough goals and they don't have anyone that looks capable of it. Players that excelled in previous seasons have either gone or just not performing. I fancy a Norwich win here. It's 1.91 at Coral.


12th March 2012

Arsenal (1.5) Draw (4.5) Newcastle (8)

Some good results of late for Arsenal but some of the performances weren't great. The results are all down to their captain Robin van Persie though. Without him, they do struggle. 3-0 at half time to Milan looked great but that was as much to do with Milan complacency as it was to do with Arsenal brilliance. Second half, Milan got it together and looked comfortable. At Liverpool, Arsenal were battered and the win was lucky. The wheels may have come off Newcastle's season. After the 5-0 defeat at Spurs, they have only managed 2 draws at home. Last round, it was a stoppage time goal against Sunderland which salvaged a point. Previously they were 2-0 up against Wolves and ended up drawing 2-2. I actually fancy Arsenal here to win by 2 clear goals. Arsenal can give out those beatings and Newcastle have suffered some bad away defeats. Arsenal -1 on the 1x2 handicap is 2.5 at bluesquare.






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