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Football Betting Tips
by Simon, last updated 2010-05-08 17:46:02Premiership Betting Tips
9th May 2010
Arsenal (1.2) Draw (8.5) Fulham (15)Bad times for Arsenal. Once the dark horses for the title, there is a slim chance they may actually finish 4th. Highly unlikely though. If this game meant something to Fulham I would probably be backing them but as it is, Fulham aren't interested. They have a Europa League final on Wednesday. It wouldn't surprise me if the full reserve side was out. 1.2 for an Arsenal win might look short but its higher than I was expecting. It's 1.2 at William Hill
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Aston Villa (1.6) Draw (4) Blackburn (6.5)
Pretty much a meaningless game for them both. Villa's hope of 4th were ended at Man City last weekend. That was their only defeat in 6. Only thing they got to play for is finishing above Liverpool. Blackburn were excellent against Arsenal last weekend winning 2-1. They didn't look like a team that were preparing for the summer holidays. Villa/ Blackburn have played 4 times this season with Villa winning 3 and Blackburn the other. Looking at the odds it would be worth having a punt on Blackburn. They were winning that 6-4 Carling Cup semi-final at Villa until they had a man sent off. Its 6.5 for the Blackburn win at Skybet
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Bolton (2.25) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.4)
Bolton have survived this season. I think thats as much to do with other teams being extremely poor rather than them being any good. They played a decent game on paper last weekend but in reality it was one of those 1-0 losses on another day could have been 3/4 - 0. Birmingham look like they are going to finish 9th whatever which is their best Premiership finish ever. Their away form has been poor of late. Only 1 win in 8 and that was against Portsmouth. I don't trust Bolton at home so the logical pick would be the draw. Its 3.4 at Skybet
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Burnley (7) Draw (4.3) Tottenham (1.53)
Burnley are down and have nothing left to play for. That strong home record at the start at the season which looked like it could keep them up has evaporated. Their last home win was against West Ham on the 6th February. Spurs clinched 4th spot midweek with that win against City. Thats really season over for them. There's a small chance of 3rd spot but with Arsenal playing Fulham its unlikely. If it was a mid table team against Spurs here I'd be backing them. I can see Spurs not really pushing it here but as its Burnley I'll have still go for a Spurs win. It's 1.53 at PaddyPower
Chelsea (1.11) Draw (10) Wigan (29)
Simple task for Chelsea win and win the league, don't and hope Man U slip up too. Its a bit of gift for them playing a low team with nothing to play for. Wigan did manage to beat Chelsea earlier in the season. Its not going to happen here though. From a betting point of view it'd be better to look at other betting markets rather than the straight win-draw-lose. Chelsea to win the title is 1.1 at Bet365. Thats a slightly better bet than a straight Chelsea win. You get a small bit of hope on the slim chance that Chelsea don't win this game then. The half time - full time market looks like it has some value. Draw/ Chelsea is 5.5 at VC bet if you think that they'll take a while to break down Wigan. Personally, I think they will come out flying and be winning at half time. Its 1.4 Chelsea/ Chelsea but stangely, its also 1.4 at Skybet for Chelsea to be winning at half time. The second bet is better but exactly the same price.
Everton (1.3) Draw (6) Portsmouth (12)
Season over for Everton. They are 8th no matter what. In fairly good form but too many draws. I remember sweating a couple of weeks ago when they were at home against a weakened Fulham side. They only scored in injury time to win 2-1. Portsmouth have the FA Cup final next weekend. Already relegated, you could say that they have nothing to play for but the players may be playing for their places. They haven't actually been playing that badly recently. Only 1 loss in 5 and that was a late Villa goal. Could easily have been a draw. I can't see how I can back Everton at 1.3 with nothing to play for. I am going to have to go for the draw. Its 6.0 at VC Bet.
Hull (7) Draw (4.3) Liverpool (1.57)
Hull's two year stay in the Premiership has come to an end. It was always going to happen. There were glimmers of hope but each one ended up being a false dawn. They are simply not a Premiership team. Liverpool have had a terrible season by their standards. 11 losses overall and 8 draws mean they can finish 6th overall at best. With the financial losses this year and the amount of debt the club has, its not looking good for next season either. They should be able to beat Hull pretty easily though. I'm not too happy backing Liverpool at 1.57 given their season but I have no faith in Hull. Its 1.57 at William Hill
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Manchester United (1.13) Draw (9.5) Stoke (23)
Depending on the result at the Bridge, this could end up being meaningless. Man U have to win to have any hope of the title but realistically, Chelsea are going to beat Wigan and this is a nothingness game. They have had a bit of trouble scoring too. 0-0 at Blackburn, 1-0 at City with a really late goal, 3-1 against Spurs but 2 of those were penalties and 1-0 against Sunderland. Stoke bounced back great after that 7-0 thrashing against Chelsea. They beat a strong Fulham side 1-0 midweek. I think they could cause Man U a few problems here. 1.13 would be reasonable if Man U won the title with a win but its likely, that won't be good enough. Stoke are no pushovers. Man U more than likely are going to win but be prepared to sweat if you back them. It's 1,13 at Skybet
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West Ham (4.3) Draw (3.75) Manchester City (1.91)
West Ham are fortunate that Portsmouth had those points docked or they could be right in the mix for relegation. They've had a poor season and now all their team are up for transfer apart from Scot Parker. This could have been City's ticket to 4th place but they failed to beat Spurs midweek. They just weren't good enough. I am surprised by the lack of odds movement on West Ham. Odds on City have lengthened but you can still get 4.3 at Paddypower for a West Ham win. This is the same price as when City needed to win this. Now this is a nothing game for City I'd expected shorter odds. At some places it has dropped but Paddypower have kept their price. I am always one looking for a value bet, so for me its West Ham at 4.3 at PaddyPower . In a nothing game, getting 4.3 for the home side is just too tempting.
Wolverhampton (2.38) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.25)
This is certainly a nothing fixture. Its almost guaranteed to be last game on match of the day. I can't really make a strong case for either the win-draw market. Looks like a game thats going to end up 1-0 either way or 1-1. I'd be looking at the goals market then. I can't believe that its 1.87 for under 2.5 goals. 78% of Wolves home games have been under 2.5 and 61% of Sunderland's away games have been under too. Its 1.87 at Bodog. If you open a new account you can earn up to £125 in free bets. Click here or on the banner below.
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