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Football betting tipsby Simon, last updated 2009-09-08 23:02:47
England vs Croatia England (1.62) Draw (3.75) Croatia (6.5)England were not that impressive against Slovenia. A dive penalty and moment of brilliance from Defoe is all I saw. The test against Croatia will be a lot tougher. An important game for both as a home win will surely send England to the final, a draw will leave them in a comfortable pole position whereas a loss puts them in pole but looking over their shoulders.
Croatia will be wanting revenge for the 4-1 defeat last year when Walcott scored a hat trick against them. No Walcott this time though and the defence looking a bit shaky with Ferdinand. Croatia also have Eduardo back so Croatia will be stronger.
Looking at the odds and the way England played against Slovenia, I can't really be backing England at 1.62. They had to draw against Croatia last time (to qualify for Euro 2008) and they lost 3-2. Bookies must have cracked open the champagne that night. I think the draw at 3.75 has more appeal. That'd be a good result for both teams. Ukraine still aren't out the running for the runner up spot so I think Croatia will be looking for a point. The draw pays 3.75 at Totesport
For a bit of extra betting Hills have opened a book on whether selected England players will start the World Cup qualifier against Croatia:
Heskey 1/2 No (6/4 yes)
Beckham 1/2 No (6/4 yes)
Defoe 8/15 No (11/8 yes)
Rooney 4/11 Yes (2/1 no)
Gerrard 1/4 Yes (11/4 no)
Looks like the Hills are not impressed with Defoes goal and prefer Heskey to start. Could be a smart bookie trick as a lot of people will see the odds against for Defoe starting and lump on it. Check the William Hill site for current prices. Personally I think Defoe should start but I am not Capello and bookies rarely get these things wrong.
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