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Football betting tips

by Simon, last updated 2009-09-18 01:47:37

 Premiership Tips - 19th-20th September 2009


19 September 2009

Burnley (2.9) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (2.6)
Who'd have thought Burnley would have 6 points considering the nightmare fixture list they had? After the Man U win, the Everton win wasn't too much of a shock. Maybe Burnley are going to do a Stoke and stay up with an amazing home record. I'll not read too much in to the away losses as not many teams gets anything from Stoke, Chelsea or Liverpool. Great expectations for Sunderland. They lived up to it last week with a nice 4-1 win over Hull. I think this game is going to be tougher and I am going to go for the home win, 2.9 at bluesquare
and why not the 1-0 correct score? (8.5 at bluesquare)

Arsenal (1.29) Draw (6.5) Wigan (15)
Arsenal met their match last week at Eastlands, losing 4-2. It could have been all so different if Adebayor would have been sent off for stamping on Van Persie rather than going on to score the 3rd goal. Anyway, Wigan are no Man City and I can't see them troubling Arsenal. The 1.29 best odds at bluesquare
make it fairly obvious. Nothing more to say on this game.

Aston Villa (1.44) Draw (4.5) Portsmouth (10)
I had my doubts about Villa after last season's end of season dip and losing to Wigan on the opening day. 3 wins later though and they look like they will be up there challenging for Europe again. Portsmouth are rock bottom with 0 wins in 5. I can't see them getting anything Villa Park. They just haven't got the players to compete in the Premiership. Home win pays 1.44 at bluesquare

Bolton (2.2) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.75)
Bolton scored late to get their first 3 points at Fratton Park last week. The game before they were unlucky to lose to Liverpool being twice in front. Stoke were incredibly unlucky not to take a point from Chelsea last week. Malouda scored 4 minutes in to stoppage time. The thing is that Stoke don't travel too well. 1X for me but I will go for the bigger priced draw, 3.3 at Boylesport

Hull (2.4) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.25)
These teams look like they could be fighting it out come the end of the season to stay in the Premiership. Hulls, 4-1 defeat at Sunderland wasn't the beating it looks like on paper. First half they matched Sunderland all the way. Its just worrying for Hull they have a -7 goal difference. Fortunately for them, Birmingham have only scored 2 goals and with their injury list, they're unlikely to score one here. I can see a 1-0 or 0-0. I can't see how to play the 1X2 but Hull clean sheet at PaddyPower at 2.88 has a lot of appeal.

West Ham (6.5) Draw (4) Liverpool (1.57)
I think the bookies must be having a laugh here to see who is mad enough to bet on Liverpool at 1.57. Maybe if they made a convincing start but they've been shocking. They beat some nobody team 1-0 in the Champions league on Wednesday. They were 1.10 to win that game. It was a close game too, some 1-0 should be something like 6-0 but this 1-0 was deserved. West Ham are no world beaters but can put up a decent fight. 6.5 is a big price at bet365 for West Ham at home to a Liverpool side that look distinctly average so far.

20 September 2009

Manchester United (1.62) Draw (4) Manchester City (6)
I don't understand Man U at all. You think they are struggling and they pull off performance of the year and beat Spurs. Even with 10 men they managed to score. They followed the script in the Champions League, doing just enough to win. They had 1 eye on this fixture I guess. A big blow for City having Adebayor out. This leaves them short of strikers as only Bellemy is definitely fit. I would have gone for the upset but maybe if City had Adebayor. 6.0 is tempting for a side which is looking to break in to the top 4. Would you get that price against any of the other established Big 4 teams? As it is, I am going to go for the home win, pays 1.62 at PaddyPower

Wolverhampton (2.6) Draw (3.3) Fulham (2.9)
Wolves were hammered last week 3-1. It could have been more. To be fair they have had some injury problems so they're not nailed on certs for relegation. Fulham B side drew 1-1 in Sofia on Thursday. They'll play their proper side that beat Everton last week this time round. Fulham good determination and skill to come from behind and win. I am hoping that Fulham are banished their away demons and will win this as they are a better team. Price is 2.9 at Totesport.

Everton (1.83) Draw (3.5) Blackburn (5)
Early days but Everton sit second from bottom. Very similar to last season when they had a slow start. A good result in Europe beating AEK Athens 4-0 but Moyes has had to play more or less his first team. Teams playing European fixtures tend to do worse in the league, I guess due to fatigue and fresher opponents. Blackburn got their first win last week against a struggling Wolves. This could be a turning point for them this season. This fixture last season ended up 3-2 to Blackburn and I can't see why they can't win it again. Away win pays 5.0 at PaddyPower

Chelsea (1.53) Draw (4.3) Tottenham (8)
Chelsea got lucky last week against Stoke. A couple of Stoke injuries took the game in to 8 minutes of injury time in which Chelsea scored. The midweek encounter with Porto sounded like a non-event. A 1-0 win for Chelsea in a dull game. Spurs failed spectacularly in their first big test of the season. 1 up after 1 minute, they still go on to lose 3-1. Man U played their best all season but I would have expected Spurs to put up a bit more of a fight. Some teams bounce back after a beating like that. Last year Spurs did managed to take 4 points in total from Chelsea. Tricky one to call this. I don't think 1.53 is good enough. Looking at some of the other markets, Chelsea to win from behind is 9.5 at PaddyPower. Its happened 3 times already this season. I suppose overs is another bet worth considering, both teams can score freely and if Spurs do get an early goal, its highly likely to be overs. Best price is 1.88 on the Goal line, over 2.5 at Ladbrokes








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