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Football betting tips
by Simon, last updated 2009-09-25 10:10:15Premiership Tips - 26th-28th September 2009
26 September 2009
Portsmouth (4.3) Draw (3.5) Everton (2)
Portsmouth set a new Premier League record last week by losing their 6 first games in a row. They picked up their first win midweek against Carlisle. That win, while not against stellar opposition may give them the confidence they need to start picking up points. Its a pity that its an in form Everton that are coming. Everton's season finally got going last week with an impressive 3-0 win over Blackburn. I'll not read too much in to the 4-0 thrashing of Hull midweek but it does show that they can score goals. I don't like the odds here but I think this will be an away win. You can get even money at Totesport
Birmingham (2.25) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3.75)
Tricky fixture this one. Birmingham still have many players out but still managed to win last week against Hull. This week, being the home side, they got to have a better chance of winning despite the injuries. Bolton are a pretty poor side this year. Amazingly, they managed to lose away to Hull City which not many teams manage. It took a late goal to salvage a point from Stoke's visit and a late goal against West Ham in the cup to take the game to extra time. If Birmingham were at full strength I would have no hesitation with backing Birmingham but I see more value in the draw here. It pays 3.3 at William Hill.
Blackburn (3.1) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.5)
Blackburn let me down last week getting beat 3-0 at Everton. Its making me think that Blackburn are a very ordinary side this year. They will struggle in the league. Villa have picked up since the opening day defeat and have won 4 on the bounce. Villa are a team I prefer to back away from home because they play better and the odds are amazing. I can see them winning this comfortably. The 2.5 at Sky Betwon't last until Saturday kick off.
Liverpool (1.17) Draw (7.5) Hull (26)
Not much to say on a team that is 1.17 to win. Liverpool drew this fixture last year 2-2. That was when they were drawing the easy games which ultimately cost them the title. They'll make no mistake this time. 1.17 is a low price but it will come in. Another bet on this game, worth considering though is the player to score/ win market. bluesquare have Gerrard to score and Liverpool to win at 2.4. Pretty good considering he is only 2.0 to score at anytime.
Stoke (10) Draw (4.5) Manchester United (1.44)
This could be a banana skin for the Champions. Last year Man U won 1-0 with a late Tevez goal after Stoke were reduced to 10 men. Stole also ran Chelsea very close only losing in stoppage time. Man U seem to be able to win however they play. Just as you thought they were going to draw the game against City, Owen pops up with a goal. I don't think this will be as easy as the odds suggest for Man U. Looking at the odds, you have to say that Stoke are a good price at 10.0 at Ladbrokes. Burnley were similar odds and managed to win and I rate Stoke as a better team than Burnley.
Tottenham (1.36) Draw (5) Burnley (10)
Burnley are the same price as Stoke but I can't see them winning this. Burnley did field a weaker side midweek so maybe a bit fresher but don't travel well and will get spanked here. They are completely different sides home and away. Spurs have shown they can't match the big teams in form but these lesser teams they can beat and beat easily. 1.36 at is low but should come in. Defoe is 2.2 to score at anytime at whereas he is odds on practically everywhere else.
Wigan (12) Draw (5) Chelsea (1.35)
I can't make the case for anything other than an away win. Wigan seem to lose before they even kick off against the Big 4. They've only managed 1 draw against the big 4. Chelsea showed last week that they can beat the better teams in the league too. I wasn't that impressed with the list of wins but now they have taken Spur's scalp they have my respect. Its 1.35 at VC Bet
for a Chelsea win.
Fulham (7.5) Draw (4) Arsenal (1.57)
Fulham don't seem to be the force they were last season. I was severely disappointed with their loss at Wolves. The second stringers lost in extra time midweek to Man City. I am not too concerned about the 120 minutes played as it was a totally changed side. Wenger's kids did well again in the cup. They seem to have recovered well from their two nightmare trips to Manchester, coming from 2-0 down in Belgian to win and then beating Wigan 4-0. Last season Fulham won this game but I don't think they can again. Away win for me. Price is 1.57 generally available.
27 September 2009
Sunderland (1.8) Draw (3.75) Wolverhampton (5)
Home win for me. If Sunderland are going to make the impact they want to make this year, they will need to win home games like this one. I can see them doing this comfortably. Wolves fielded a fairly strong side again Man U's youth side in the cup. Man U had a man sent off and still won 1-0. I can see this Sunderland side with the Bent/ Kenwyne Jones partnership winning this one comfortably. Odds are 1.8 at Boylesport but don't expect that stand out price to last.
28 September 2009
Manchester City (1.45) Draw (4.5) West Ham (8.5)
Man City were cruelly beat last week at Man U. I see a real title contender in them. The Carling Cup result cost me but they managed to win in the end. West Ham are a poor team this year. The 3-2 loss against Liverpool flattered them. At 1.45 at , this is a nailed on bet.
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