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Football betting tips
by Simon, last updated 2009-10-02 01:05:24Premiership Tips - 3rd -5th October 2009
3 October 2009
Bolton (4.2) Draw (3.6) Tottenham (2)
Bolton haven't won a home game yet. Last week they won a tough fixture away at Birmingham and have a recent record of W-D-W. Good form after a dreadful start. Spurs come off a demolition of Burnley. They can really knock goals past the lesser teams in the league. On past form you got favour Bolton, Spurs have only got 1 point from Bolton from their last 5 visits. However, this Spurs team looks irresistible and Bolton aren't as strong as they have been in previous years. Even money at for the away win.
Burnley (2.3) Draw (3.3) Birmingham (3.3)
Burnley come off an away thrashing. I guess they are going to concentrate on their home form where they have beat, Man U, Everton and Sunderland. The win against Sunderland was not a 1-0 wonder either (3-1). Birmingham are down to the bare bones again. Maybe a tad unlucky to lose to Bolton but that what happens if you play only 1 striker and can't seem to score more than 1 goal a game. Given Burnley's home record, I will have to back them again this week. 2.3 at bet365 is a decent price for a team that has won all their home games this season.
Hull (2.88) Draw (3.4) Wigan (2.6)
Last season this fixture ended 5-0 to Wigan. Hull went on that fantastic run after which ultimately kept them up. They've been poor again this season coming off a 6-1 thrashing at Liverpool. Wigan would have busted many an accumulator last week by beating Chelsea. It wasn't a fluke either, they played them off the park apparently. They'll come here full of confidence. I think they away win at 2.6 at Totesport is the bet to have.
Wolverhampton (2.1) Draw (3.4) Portsmouth (3.8)
Strange game for Wolves last Monday, 2-0 down, then to 2-2 with the game in the balance and then end up losing 5-2. With these newly promoted teams its going to be their home form which keeps them up. Last time out they beat Fulham 2-1. Portsmouth are in all sorts of trouble. Maybe unlucky to lose against Everton and some of the other games, but the fact remains they are still losing. They broke a top flight record last week of losing their first 7 games at the start of a season. I can see them breaking it again. May as well keep backing against Portsmouth until they the their £50 million transfer money and start spending it. Wolves are 2.1 to win at PaddyPower
Manchester United (1.2) Draw (7) Sunderland (15)
I can't believe how lucky Man U are. A poor performance against Wolfsburg but they still manage to come from 1-0 down and win. A similar game to the Arsenal one where they should not have won. I suppose thats why they are the Champions. Sunderland come off they back of a 5-2 but its a scoreline that flatters them. Last away game, they lost 3-1 to Burnley. At 1.2 Man U is the obvious bet but I can't there being any value in that. Their luck has got to run out at sometime. Hard to find a betting angle on this game so I think I will leave it.
4 October 2009
Arsenal (1.25) Draw (6.5) Blackburn (15)
Arsenal playing pretty football again and scoring. More importantly, they are not letting goals in. After there nightmare in Manchester they have gone 4 games without conceding in all competitions. Blackburn were impressive last week coming from 1-0 down to beat Villa (cost me a lot of money). Arsenal away are a different proposition though and I can't see them getting anything. The 1.25 doesn't appeal. Looking at some other good bets though, they are 2.0 to win to nil at bluesquare. Hills have the same bet at 1.5 and Ladbrokes 1.62. Surely some value in that.
Everton (1.57) Draw (4) Stoke (6.5)
Everton rode their luck against Portsmouth last week and were lucky to win. They've just been out to Belarus winning 2-1 after a being 1-0 down. Stoke were poor against Man U last week. A 2-0 home loss to Man U looks respectable but in reality, Man U took a while to get going so thats why it was only 2-0. I never like backing teams after a European night, especially if they have gone to far away places. The 1.57 is far too short, even if you ignore that, European fixture. Draws don't seem to be happening in the Premiership this season so I will take a chance on the away win. You can get 6.5 at Ladbrokes
West Ham (2.25) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.75)
Relegation form for West Ham. They haven't won since the start of the season and come to this off 3 straight defeats. They were lucky to have only lost 3-1 to City too. I was quite impressed by Fulham last week from Arsenal. Arsenal's stand in keeper did a great job of stopping Fulham. Another day and they could have won that. Fulham have had a European game at home to Basel which they won 1-0. Again this is a negative but I think Fulham have enough quality to beat West Ham. If it were not for the European game I would be lumping on the away win. You can get 3.75 at Totesport.
Chelsea (2.2) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (3.75)
Two teams which are both underachieving. Chelsea were poor against Wigan and rightfully lost and then they followed it up with a poor 1-0 in Cyprus. Liverpool thrashed Hull as expected but played poorly the first half against Florintina. Last season Liverpool famously ended Chelsea's unbeaten home record and did pull out the best performances for the big games. Its an extremely tricky game to call this. Any result wouldn't be a surprise. Maybe one to just watch and try some in running betting.
5 October 2009
Aston Villa (2.75) Draw (3.5) Manchester City (2.75)
Costly, poor performance from Villa last week. Could be a blip but losing to an average Blackburn isn't good. I never like backing Villa at home anyway. City are genuine title contenders this year. Odds don't seem to reflect this at all. Last Monday you could get over 1.5 for them to beat West Ham. The odds were drifting upwards for some reason. Imagine if this was any of the Big 4 coming to Villa, would you get 2.75? Not a chance but here you have it. 2.75 at Sky Bet on a City win. Adebayor is back too.
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