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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2012-03-23 19:22:20Premiership Weekend Betting tips
24th - 26th March 2012
24th March 2012Chelsea (1.91) Draw (3.7) Tottenham (4.5)
Chelsea played an OK game against City midweek and were a bit unlucky to lose. They were leading 1-0 and had City contained but it was a penalty that got City back in it. Torres playing well but still no goals for him. Terry should be back for this game which I think favours Spurs. He's slow nowadays and the Spurs front men will run circles around him. What's happened to Spurs? Could actually be nothing. The home draw against Stoke was worrying but there was no shame in losing to Arsenal and Everton away and Manchester United at home. No Aaron Lennon or Adebayor but they have players than can replace them. I am not totally convinced about Chelsea. They sacked their manager and then won against Birmingham in the cup, beat Stoke 1-0, won at home in the Champions League and then beat Leicester 5-2 in the Cup. That's not really that impressive. I still think the Chelsea side is too old and the younger Spurs side with their pace should have the edge here. I am going for Spurs on the Asian handicap. It's +0.5 at 2.02 at bet365.
Arsenal (1.36) Draw (5) Aston Villa (10)
Some cracking form for Arsenal. They have won their last 6 league games and are now in 3rd place. They had some bits of luck to get them there. A couple of last minute goals against Liverpool and Newcastle to win and Everton having a good goal ruled off side. Van Persie still in top form but as well Walcott has been playing excellently. Villa haven't played for a couple of weeks. Last game, they scored late on to beat Fulham 1-0. Its pretty much season over for Villa. Nothing really to play for now. They are on 33 points but with 10 games left, they'll pick up enough to survive. I suppose 1.36 is all you are going to get for this game with the way Arsenal are playing. I am not convinced though. Backing Arsenal at low prices is not for the feint hearted. I think this is one to back if Arsenal go behind.
Bolton (2.5) Draw (3.5) Blackburn (3)
All the talk about this game will be about how Fabrice Muamba's collapse at White Hart Lane will affect the Bolton team. The game could have been called off but Owen Colyle must believe his team are focused again on playing. Last league outing, they beat fellow strugglers QPR 2-1 which helped their cause but they still remain in the relegation zone after good results by Blackburn and QPR. Blackburn have found some form at the right time beating Wolves and Sunderland to pull themselves 5 points clear of the drop zone. Yakubu is on top form and when you have a striker like that, you are going to win games. I don't know whether they can make it 3 in a row here. Few ordinary teams can win 3 games in a row. Looking at the odds, I am going to go with a draw. Top price out of the 3 and just as likely as any of the other results. Its 3.5 at Bet Victor.
Liverpool (1.33) Draw (5.5) Wigan (13)
I have no idea what happened to Liverpool midweek. I don't think anyone does. They were 2-0 with 20 minutes to go, totally dominant and end up losing 3-2. Maybe some complacency has crept in. Some good solid performance from Liverpool of late. They did deserve that 3-0 league win over Everton and the 2-1 win over Stoke in the league. They should bounce back strong but at 1.33 its hard to make the case for backing them. Wigan have lost the one in the last 6 but have also only won 1 in the last 14. Its not good reading but there are some signs of improvement. On another day, they would have comfortably beat West Brom such as their dominance but they only managed a draw. It's hard to make a case for anyone coming to Anfield and winning. Only Arsenal have managed it and they were so lucky. A draw wouldn't be out of the question though as Liverpool are only 5-8-1 at home. I would prefer the 5.5 on the draw than 1.33 on the home win. Its 5.5 at bet365.
Norwich (1.8) Draw (3.8) Wolverhampton (5)
No win in 4 for Norwich now. They had a bad game against Wigan but apart from that have played OK. With 36 points they've been safe for a while. This slump they've had means they have dropped to 14th place but no danger in going down at all. Wolves have lost the plot I think. They've got to know they are down. 12-0 in aggregate from their last 3 games. So even though Norwich are going through this slump I'll back them. In fact, I'd back anyone in the Premiership at the moment to beat Wolves. Its 1.8 at PaddyPower.
Sunderland (2.1) Draw (3.5) QPR (4)
Sunderland are on the drift for this game. The bookies are thinking that O'Neil will have half an eye on the FA Cup replay. I suppose QPRs super comeback against Liverpool is playing a part in the drifting odds too. QPR were battered by Liverpool, 2-0 down with 20 minutes to go, they came back and won it 3-2. That's got to have given QPR a boost and some belief they can stay up. O'Neil isn't known for playing weakened sides though. You could have made a similar argument midweek when they played Blackburn. They ended up losing 2-0 but O'Neil did play as strong side and on another day could have got a draw out of that game. Stephane Sessegnon is back for this game too. I think 2.1 at Bet Victor for the home win is great.
Swansea (2.25) Draw (3.4) Everton FC (3.6)
A great run of form Swansea have been on. Wigan away, City at home and Fulham away. Not the easiest of games but all won to nil. They are only 3 points behind Liverpool and its not beyond the realms of possibility that they could catch them. Everton have been on a decent run of form but the FA Cup tie has stretched their resources. Moyes rested players for the Merseyside derby before the cup tie. They have a replay Tuesday night which is all they really have to play for this season. I can see him resting players again. This is why I think that this is a fantastic price on the home win. Maybe if both teams were at full strength and up for it, the odds would be about right but Swansea are the home side, have won their last 3 and are playing an Everton team that are more interested in a cup replay than this. Its currently 2.25 at PaddyPower for the Swansea win but I don't think that price will last. I think they should be odds on easily.
Stoke (6.25) Draw (3.8) Manchester City (1.67)
Three tough games in a row for Stoke. A loss to Chelsea and Liverpool and an unlikely point against Spurs. Even though Spurs only equalised in stoppage time, Stoke were lucky to get anything from that game. I think they put it all in for the FA Cup game against Liverpool at the weekend. Excellent comeback for City midweek. It was looking grim for them but a penalty and a great Samir Nasri goal gave them all 3 points and some much needed momentum. The loss at Swansea was devastating in terms of their title hopes. I can see them winning all their home games but they do have some tricky away fixtures including this one. The good news is that Tevez is back in the team. Mario Balotelli and Edin Dzeko are so over rated. Sergio Agüero and Carlos Tevez upfront is the dream team and probably would allow them to get back to their winning ways away from home. Captain Vincent Kompany is back too which will boost their defence. I am going for a City win. They have to win this or United may as well have the title now. City to win is 1.67 at PaddyPower.
25th March 2012
West Brom (2.38) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (3.3)
West Brom's mini-revival seems to have come off the rails. After that run where they beat Wolves, Sunderland and Chelsea, they lost at Old Trafford and then were very lucky to get a point from Wigan. They only had the 1 shot on target and scored it. Peter Odemwingie their top scorer should return for this game. Alan Pardew has set his sights on a Europa League place this season. Their little mini-slump where they went 4 games without a win has put them out of Champions League contention. They stopped the slide last weekend with a 1-0 win over Norwich. I am leaning more towards Newcastle with this game. West Brom have blown hot and cold this season and I think its time for them to blow cold again. You can get Newcastle on the Asian Handicap +0.25 at even money at bet365.
26th March 2012
Manchester United (1.25) Draw (6) Fulham (15)
A pretty simple game to finish off this week. United demolished Wolves last weekend 5-0 after Wolves were reduced to 10 men. United are so clinincal in front of goal that they can play badly and still win. In the Wolves game, they had 9 shots on target and scored 5 of them. Fulham were outclassed at home to Swansea. I guess if this was an ordinary fixture for them, they'd be expected to bounce back with a win but no one expects them to win at Old Trafford and they won't. 1.25 is the best you'll get on the straight win but you can get even money at Skybet for them to win to nil. United beat Wolves and West Brom to nil in their last 2 games and Fulham have lost their last 2 games to nil. Also, new user using the bonus code BET10 can get a free no deposit £10 bet at Skybet
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