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Football betting tips
by Simon, last updated 2009-10-30 01:08:48Premiership Tips - 31st October -1st November 2009
31 October 2009
Arsenal (1.62) Draw (4) Tottenham (6.3)
Disappointing results for both teams last week, both coupon busters. I think Spurs were the bigger disappointment, losing at home to Stoke. Worst still it was 1-0. I guess without Defoe's pace, the struggled to break down Stoke. Arsenal gave up a 2-0 lead at West Ham. Thats a problem for the Gunners, closing out games. It showed in Alkmaar, where they let in a bad goal too. Arsenal should win this game but my bet will be on the over 2.5 goals. Its a similar price to the Arsenal win but covers the much more likely scores in my opinion. You can get 1.57 at Skybet.
Bolton (9) Draw (4.3) Chelsea (1.45)
These two teams played midweek and it ended up 4-0 to Chelsea at the Bridge. Confidence is back at Chelsea now after suffering 2 straight away losses to Wigan and Villa. Bolton squeezed past a tired Everton side last week. Looking at the past results it looks like Bolton are going to struggle to even score here, losing the last to nil. With that in mind, the bet to have is Chelsea to win to nil. Its currently 2.4 at Bluesquare, or else 6.5 at Totesport. The bet at Tote looks like a palpable error though so I wouldn't expect them to honour it. I think the correct price is 3.0 which is still better than every where else but best check the odds before hand. Sign up to Totesport for a £100 in free bets
Burnley (2) Draw (3.5) Hull (4.3)
The easy money backing Burnley at home ended last week. Burnley scored early but ended up being beat 3-1 by a well organised Wigan side. Hull played out a dull 0-0 against Portsmouth. A lot of problems off the pitch for Hull with Brown looking like he's going and the club in financial trouble. I guess this can work both ways, it could add to the misery or galvanise the team. I think I will give Burnley another chance though and back them at 2.0 at Boylesport. Hull are no Wigan and backing Burnley at home has been profitable so far this season.
Everton (2.62) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.90)
Fixture congestion and a small squad are hurting Everton big time. No win in 5 and 3 defeats on the bounce. Moyes, played a strong squad at Spurs in the Carling Cup. It was probably a mistake, given they lost 2-0 anyway. Villa cost me dear with their poor performance last week. Take that out though and Villa have been a really good side. I can see them beating this tired Everton side. You can get 2.9 on the straight Villa win at William Hill or 2.0 at PaddyPower for the draw no bet.
Fulham (4.5) Draw (3.5) Liverpool (1.91)
Fulham did well to come back from 2-0 down to get a draw at Man City. Craven Cottage is not an easy place to go. Chelsea and Arsenal have gone there and walked away with 3 points this season but I don't think Liverpool will. Liverpool beating Man U is just papering over the cracks. Its games like this that will decide whether Liverpool are genuine title contenders. I don't think they'll make top 4 this year. 1X for me. I can't decide so I'll go for Fulham +0.5 on the Asian Handicap at bet365
Portsmouth (2.5) Draw (3.4) Wigan (3)
Portsmouth have been unlucky this season. The midweek Carling Cup win 4-0 against Stoke would have done their confidence no end of good. This is the league though and its totally different. I was disappointed by them not beating Hull last week to say the least. Wigan got a good result against Burnley at fortress Turf Moor. If you remove the Hull defeat they have had a good run recently. An extremely tricky fixture to predict this one. Any of the three results wouldn't be a surprise. If I had to bet, I would go with Wigan at 3.0 at bet365 but as I don't I will skip this one.
Stoke (1.91) Draw (3.5) Wolverhampton (4.5)
Stoke cost punters dearly last week by beating Spurs. I can't imagine anyone predicting that one. They came crashing down midweek losing to Portsmouth midweek 4-0. Its the Carling Cup though so I'll ignore that. Wolves outplayed Villa last week for long periods of the game but were fortunate to get a draw. If they play like that they could cause some problems for Stoke but I will back Stoke anyway. You can get 1.95 for Stoke -0.5 on the Asian Handicap at bet365 which is the same as the home win but a better price.
Sunderland (2) Draw (3.5) West Ham (4.3)
Sunderland were another let down last week at Birmingham. Maybe 3 good performances in a row is too much for them. Last 15 minutes they could have drawn that game. Home form is different though. They've only lost to Chelsea and won the other 4. I do not have a clue how West Ham got a draw out of Arsenal. 2-0 down and not looking like scoring and 2 goals in 6 minutes gives them a point. I don't think they'll be so fortunate this weekend though. Sunderland are 2.0 at bet365. Everywhere else they are odds on so I think this price won't last until Saturday.
Manchester United (1.18) Draw (7) Blackburn (21)
I've been saying all season that Man U have been lucky. The first week in a while I back them and they lose. Lucky for them this is quite an easy fixture. Blackburn's last 3 away games looks like this, 3-0 loss to Everton, 6-2 loss to Arsenal and 5-0 to Chelsea. Home win but the 1.18 tells you that. I can't find any good betting angle on this one so I am will skip it.
1 November 2009
Birmingham (4.5) Draw (3.6) Manchester City (1.91)
Good result for Birmingham beating an in form Sunderland 2-1. They are still an injury hit team that will be down towards the bottom of the table. 3 draw on the bounce for City. Thats not good enough for a team challenging for the title. I think they'll go all out for this one. A draw is a useless result for them. Odds on the away win are pretty high. 1.91 at bluesquare. I just look at the odds you'd get with a top 4 team. 3 draws in a row make me want to back this even more as the odds are better and the desire for City to win is more.
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