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Football betting tips
by Simon, last updated 2009-12-04 02:27:40Premiership Betting Tips - 5th - 6th December 2009
5 December 2009
Portsmouth (1.91) Draw (3.5) Burnley (4.5)
Portsmouth on a 4 game losing streak now if you count the Carling Cup defeat. Last week, they matched Man U first half but Man U turned on the style. This is a must win game for Portsmouth. Looking at the odds though, I don't think its possible to back a team at the foot of the table at odds on. Burnley have been poor away from home but they have been scoring. 5-0 down at West Ham, they pulled 3 back. They scored 3 at Man City and 2 at Blackburn in their previous away fixtures. I think the bet to have is over 2.5 goals then. You can get 1.91 at William Hill.
Arsenal (1.3) Draw (5.5) Stoke (13)
Arsenal are going through a bad patch which I think is down to Van Persie being out. They suffer from Arsenalitis (pretty football but few shots at goal) when he's not in the side. They've not scored in their last 2 league games. I cannot see how anyone can back them at 1.3. If Stoke were a little more ambitious away from home, I'd be putting a few quid on them. I can see them keeping it tight and settling for a 0-0. You can Stoke on the Asian Handicap +1.5 goals for 2.08 at bet365.
Aston Villa (1.5) Draw (4.3) Hull (8)
Villa won handsomely in the Carling Cup midweek but I'll not read to much in to that as it was against Portsmouth who have the Premier League to worry about. They were disappointing against Spurs, when they went 1 up, they just sat back and let Spurs back in to it. Hull have hit some form. Good point at City last week. Its like last season but in reverse. I'll wait a bit longer until I start backing them again though. Villa odds are a bit short too. Its one of those games where the both sides win odds don't appeal. Likely Villa win though so my tip is Villa at 1.5 at Skybet.
Blackburn (5.3) Draw (3.8) Liverpool (1.8)
Long game for Blackburn midweek. 120 minutes playing and penalties must have taken something out of them. Still only 1 home defeat all season for Blackburn. Liverpool were poor against Everton and were fortunate to win 2-0. A win is a win though and it could mark the turning of the corner. I am not convinced they should be odds on though. If it wasn't for the midweek game, I'd go for Blackburn to win this but I'll go for the draw instead. 3.8 at bet365.
West Ham (8) Draw (4.2) Manchester United (1.5)
West Ham were 5-0 up against Burnley but let 3 goals in, in the last 15 minutes. No Carlton Cole this week though. Man U played poorly first half against Portsmouth but then turned on the style to win 4-1. West Ham have a limited squad and look like they are going to be fighting it out at the bottom. Man U win but I prefer the overs alternative. 3 or more goals is 1.85 at bet365. All West Ham's home games have been overs this season.
Wigan (2.1) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.6)
Good win for Wigan against Sunderland last week. They bounced back as expected from their 9-1 hammering. Birmingham are continuing on their great run of form since the takeover, wining 1-0 at Wolves. Tricky one to call this. Only thing I can be sure of is that its going to be tight. Under 2.5 goals is 1.67 at Skybet. A bit short considering all the overs in the Premiership this year but I can see this being a 1-0 either way or 0-0 or 1-1 draw.
Wolverhampton (2.4) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3.2)
Wolves were terrible last week in the derby. Only 1 shot on target in the whole game for them. With Kightly out they look a team short on goal scoring talent. Bolton pulled out a shock draw last weekend (costing me quite a lot of money). They are second bottom of the current form table, with Wolves being bottom. Too tricky to call this one. I'll skip it.
Manchester City (4.5) Draw (3.5) Chelsea (1.91)
City keep on drawing games. Last weeks draw made it 7 in a row. Midweek, they did beat Arsenal kids in the Carling Cup 3-0. They made hard work of it though. Chelsea are a different proposition though. They did set the standard last week beating Arsenal 3-0. You can make a case for City, as they have the players to win this. 4.5 is a big price for a home team that has spent that much money. Chelsea have lost away from home this season to Wigan and Villa so they are vulnerable nad got knocked out of the Carling Cup midweek. I'll stick with backing the Chelsea machine though. Rarely do you get odds of 1.91 on Chelsea. You can actually get 1.925 on Chelsea -0.5 on the Asian Handicap at bet365. Same bet as the Chelsea win but slightly better odds.
6 December 2009
Fulham (2.2) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.6)
Fulham were a let down last week. It was actually my bet of the week and was costly. The only reason I can think of is that they had a midweek game before too. Maybe their squad can't handle two wins in the same week. They had a Europa Cup game midweek winning 1-0. Sunderland lost at Wigan as expected. They seem to turn it on against the big teams but can't do the same against everyone else. Looks like one of those 1-1 draws this game. Draw is 3.4 at Boylesport.
Everton (3) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.5)
A tough European fixture for Everton midweek. A 1-0 away win in Greece. It might have taken them in to the next round of the Europa League but they've lost Dan Gosling, Sylvain Distin and Jo. These injuries are taking their toll in the league. If results go against them, they could find themselves in the bottom 3 at the end of this game. Spurs were great last week against Villa, a draw was a good result after Villa shut up shop. Midweek they were awful though against the Man U youth team. Spurs didn't put out the full squad so I'll ignore that. Spurs win for me. Price is 2.5 at most bookies but I'm going with Spurs draw no bet at 1.8 at bluesquare. Money back for the draw and a decent return if Spurs win.
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