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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2012-03-30 22:49:01Premiership Weekend Betting tips
31st March - 2nd April 2012
31st March 2012Aston Villa (5) Draw (3.6) Chelsea (1.85)
Villa were well and truly beaten by Arsenal last round 3-0. If they weren't already on 33 points I'd be worried about them. Its just good fortune for them that there are 3 worse teams below them in the league. The bad news for them is that captain Stiliyan Petrov is out after being diagnosed with acute leukaemia. Chelsea managed a win in the Champions League with several of the first team rested. I guess Di Matteo was playing for the draw in that and got lucky with the win. I expect the first teamers to return for this game fresh. The Champions League probably isn't winnable this year as they'll have to get past Barcelona in the next round so qualifying for next year's competition is probably more urgent. For me, it's a Chelsea win all day long. It's 1.85 at PaddyPower.
Everton FC (1.87) Draw (3.6) West Brom (4.75)
Two great results for Everton away from home at places where you think they wouldn't get anything. First of all, they managed an upset at Swansea beating them 2-0 and then winning by the same score line at Sunderland in the FA Cup. That's pretty much their season now. They can't really get anywhere in the league. Well, they can over take Liverpool with a win here but I think Moyes is putting everything in to the FA Cup. West Brom were thrashed 3-1 at home by Newcastle last round. Hodgson will want a strong response from them. Strangely, their best results have been away from home this season. Looking at the odds, I think West Brom have to be backed. Its pretty much a nothingness game for both teams but 4.75 is much better than 1.87 so I'm going with West Brom at PaddyPower.
Fulham (1.73) Draw (3.9) Norwich (5.5)
Fulham maybe should have got a point last round against Manchester United. They were denied a late penalty which surely would have made it 1-1. They haven't scored in their last 3 games and Pavel Pogrebnyak isn't looking as good as when he first debuted. Norwich stopped their slide with a 2-1 win over Wolves. As I thought though, any team can beat Wolves in the state they are in. It cost them their captain though. Grant Holt was sent off and will miss this game. I really can't understand the odds here. Norwich are 3 points ahead of Fulham but are a massive 5.5. I know there's home advantage but 1.73 for a team that has lost it's last 3 games to nil? Norwich for me, it's 5.5 at William Hill.
Manchester City (1.25) Draw (6.5) Sunderland (15)
City slipped up last weekend at Stoke. It was a pretty obvious that without Aguero and Kompany, City might struggle at Stoke. 1-1 was probably a fair result. Kompany will be back this weekend but Aguero is out injured. I am not a fan of Dzeko or Balotelli so I am hoping that Tevez will start or come on and play a big part in this game. Sunderland crashed out of the FA Cup with a 2-0 home loss to Everton. I guess that is season over for them now. Since O'Neil has took over, I think they have over performed. I can't see them getting anything here at all. City have so much to play for whereas Sunderland are looking forward to next season. Top price of 1.25 is not that appealing but fair. I am going for City to win to nil at 2.0 at Ladbrokes.
QPR (6) Draw (4.2) Arsenal (1.62)
It's looking grim for QPR. It was the perfect time to play Sunderland and pick up some vital points away from home but discipline has cost them again. 11 vs 11 was going to be tough but when D Cisse was sent off after 55 minutes it was game over. He'll be suspended for 4 games now. That 3-2 win over Liverpool looks even more freakish now. Arsenal are firing on all cylinders. They have had their share of luck but are also joint top of the current form table with 6 wins out of 6. In their 3-0 win over Villa they had 3 different goal scorers which didn't include Van Persie. Odds on Arsenal might not be great but I suppose that's all you can expect on current form. I can see this being another win for Arsenal. I think if they turn on the style they could win this 4 or 5 nil but with some of Arsenal's performances a 1-0 ground out victory wouldn't be surprising either. It'll just stick with the straight win at 1.62 at Bet Victor.
Wigan (2.7) Draw (3.3) Stoke (2.88)
Wigan continue to surprise. Just when you think they are down and out, they go pull off a shock win at Liverpool. Its as if Wigan only perform when the pressure is on. Every season they are facing relegation and every season they manage to stay up. Still no Rodallega to get the goals. As with all teams facing relegation, it's the shortage of goals that's causing the problem. Stoke managed to get a point of City last weekend, which will have give Manchester United a boost in the title race. Crouch probably got goal of the season with that fantastic strike. This game is a tricky one as the odds suggest. I will go with the home win though as Wigan need it more than Stoke do. The Stoke players will be taking their feet off the peddle sooner or later. Wigan are 2.7 at Boylesports.
Wolverhampton (2.4) Draw (3.5) Bolton (3.1)
Wolves must be kicking themselves for sacking Mick McCarthy. Since that date, they have drawn 1 and lost 4 with no end in sight. The only glimmer of hope is that Wolves managed to score a goal last game. I think they are down now. Maybe the board knew that when they sacked McCarthy and its just a case of rebuilding next season. Bolton managed to beat Blackburn last weekend. With hindsight it was obvious. With Muamba in hospital, the team played for him. That win has pulled them out of the relegation zone. I think they can build on that. I still think Wolves are doomed and it should be profitable to back against them every week. Bolton are 3.1 at bet365.
1st April 2012
Newcastle (3.1) Draw (3.5) Liverpool (2.5)
Excellent win last weekend for Newcastle last weekend beating West Brom 3-1. It puts them 8 points clear of Liverpool. Papiss Cisse has been a great signing. With him and Demba Ba they have goals in them. For Liverpool, they had a terrible weekend. Not many would have tipped them to lose to relegation candidates, Wigan at home. If it was an isolated incident, you could put it down to one of those days but they have lost 5 of the last 6 league games. The only win was against Everton who played a weakened team. I don't know why they are favourites for this game. Newcastle are in much better form and are at home. Odds should be the other way round at best. I think Newcastle on the Asian Handicap at Bet Victor is the way to play this one. It's 2.29. Its safer than the 3.1 for the straight win which is also great value. Something is wrong with that Liverpool side at the moment and its been a gold mine backing against them these past few weeks.
Tottenham (1.44) Draw (4.8) Swansea (9.5)
Spurs seemed to have shook off that bad spell they went through. Not only did they come through the FA Cup tie, convincing 3-1 winners over Bolton. There were signs last weekend against Chelsea that they were bouncing back. The game finished 0-0 but Spurs finished the stronger side and should have really won that. Lennon is back for Spurs too. I think they are always better when he is in the squad. All was going so well for Swansea but then they lose at home to Everton. Maybe that's season over for Swansea. They've done great this season and are 10th with 39 points, they'll not go down. I suppose I could make a case for there being some value in the 9.5 on the away win. Previously, they did go to Fulham and win 3-0 there. I wouldn't put any one off backing Swansea at 9.5 but I just think that Spurs have turned the corner and with Chelsea hot on their heels for 4th place, they'll want to win this more than Swansea. Spurs are 1.44 at PaddyPower.
2nd April 2012
Blackburn (9) Draw (5) Manchester United (1.4)
Blackburn's mini-resurgence came to an end with the lost to Bolton last weekend. With all the emotions over Fabrice Muamba, that was understandable. Manchester United were very lucky to get the 1-0 win over Fulham last Monday. Fulham were denied a stonewalled penalty, late on. For the rest of the game though, United did dominate and they really should have had the game in the bag before the end. Can Blackburn do what they did to United back at the end of December by beating them? They have goals in them and United have looked shaky at times. I will take a chance on Blackburn here. Its 9.0 at Bet Victor. It'll probably lose but there is more than a 11% chance of Blackburn causing an upset here. I've seen United play badly on more than 1 occasion this season and sooner or later they will get punished for it.
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