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Football Betting Tips
by Ben, last updated 2011-11-05 04:32:24Premiership Weekend Betting tips
5th - 6th November 2011
5th November 2011Newcastle (2.3) Draw (3.4) Everton (3.5)
Newcastle continue their excellent start. 3-1 last week away to Stoke. I fully expected them to lose their unbeaten record but a Ba hattrick and general hard work got them through. Stoke is not an easy place to go. Everton lost their last game 1-0 at home to Manchester United. No shame in that I suppose, the were missing Neville and Cahill, who are doubts for this game too. I don't think they'll have much of a chance if they don't play. Newcastle are well priced at 2.3 here. With their form, they should easily be odds on but for some strange reason PaddyPower are offering 2.3.
Arsenal (1.44) Draw (4.75) West Brom (9)
Arsenal played a decent game last weekend and deserved to beat Chelsea. 5-3 I think is a little flattering as 2 of those were in the last 5 minutes of the game. It was a bit of a mad game. Chelsea pushing for the win late on left big holes in the back which Van Persie exploited. West Brom will be playing a lot more defensively so they won't find it as easy. That is 3 wins in a row for Arsenal though and they are up to 7th. West Brom played a stinker of game last round. Liverpool managed to beat them without really even breaking a sweat. West Brom only had 1 shot on target. I don't think they'll be able to get anything here either. That 2 win streak previously was against a poor Wolves side and a 10 man Villa. I'm not overly keen on the odds for Arsenal but I think they will win this. Its 1.44 at PaddyPower.
Aston Villa (1.91) Draw (3.6) Norwich (4.6)
Villa drew their last game 2-2 against Sunderland, thus returning to their favourite result this season. The are 2-6-2 overall. With the squad they have they should really be winning more games. Norwich managed to score 2 late goals to salvage a point from the visit of Blackburn. They have been in fine form recently and probably do deserve to be a point ahead of Villa. Betting wise they odds on Villa are too short. The draw offers much better value in my opinion, followed by the away win. It wouldn't be too much of shock if Norwich won this but I think the draw is more likely. It's 3.6 at VC Bet.
Blackburn (7.5) Draw (4.5) Chelsea (1.53)
Blackburn played a solid game against Norwich and maybe were unlucky not to take 3 points from them. Maybe the Carling Cup win over Newcastle did mark the start of their campaign this season. Before then it was terrible with only the single win over Arsenal. Chelsea are going through a rough patch now. Arsenal managed to knock 5 past them last weekend. A good team would have used the next game to bounce back but Chelsea could only manage a draw in the Champions League against Genk. I think that Villas-Boas may be getting the tactics wrong. Their defence is vulnerable to the counter attack. Terry's lack of pace is being exploited by the opposition. No Drogba for this game either as he's suspended. Betting wise, I would not touch Chelsea at 1.53. 7.5 for Blackburn at Totesport is a much better bet. If you do think Chelsea will win then betting on the overs market at 1.57 is better. No clean sheet for Chelsea since the first day of the season so if that trend continues then it will be an overs game if Chelsea win.
Liverpool (1.36) Draw (5.5) Swansea City (11)
Liverpool comfortable beat a poor West Brom side last round, 2-0. Suarez and Carroll are making nice strike partnership up front. No Gerrard for this game though as he's out with an ankle infection. Swansea beat a 10 man Bolton side last weekend. Away from home they have struggled to pick up points. To be fair they really should have been Wolves the week before but Wolves managed to score 2 late goals from nowhere to get a point. Liverpool are 2-3-0 at home with the last 2 games being draws against Manchester United and Norwich. I don't think this will be as comfortable as the odds suggest. Swansea aren't a bad side and that Graham has started scoring regular goals. My tip is Swansea +1.5 goals on the Asian Handicap at bet365 at 1.98.
Manchester United (1.29) Draw (6.5) Sunderland (15)
United haven't been playing that well recently. They made hard work of beating Everton last week and midweek against Otelul Galati. I don't think their midfield that strong this year. Maybe that's why Fergusson experimented with sticking Rooney there in the midweek game. Sunderland couldn't follow up the win at Bolton with a home win against Villa. That's not too bad a result I suppose. Its something they can build on but I don't think they'll get anything here. You really do have be backing United at home every week, whatever the odds - well unless Manchester City come to town. 1.29 at PaddyPower.
QPR (10) Draw (5.25) Manchester City (1.38)
QPR were battered by Spurs last round. They are a poor side. They didn't look like scoring from open play and their goal came from a poorly defended corner. City had a nice trip to Spain midweek and played a leisurely 3-0 win over Villarreal without even breaking a sweat. I cannot see any other result than a City win. The only hope is that City get 2 men sent off. Even then, I think I'd still not back QPR to win. Maybe if QPR are lucky, they can get to half time at 0-0. City are sometimes slow starters. City -1.5 goals is 2.15 on the Asian Handicap at bet365. They have to win by more than 2 goals but I am confident that they will do.
6th November 2011
Wolverhampton (1.95) Draw (3.5) Wigan (4.5)
Wolves will be happy not playing Manchester this week. The last two games they played were against City and they lost them both, 5-2 and 3-1. At least they can score goals and maybe can get a win against normal opposition here. Wigan lost number 7 in a row last weekend against Fulham. Surprisingly, they can go ahead of Wolves with a 2 goal victory. Rodallega isn't scoring the goals like he did last season but is a potential match winner you can't write off. I am struggling to understand how the current Wolves team can be odds on favourite here. I know Wigan have lost 7 on the bounce but Wolves have lost 6 of the last 7. I find the 4.5 at Ladbrokes for a Wigan win much more backable than the 1.95 on Wolves.
Bolton (2.5) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.2)
When will Bolton get their first win of the season? 5 games, 5 losses. Early on you could blame it on the tough opposition but they couldn't even beat Sunderland last home game (2-0 loss). Stoke had a midweek in the Europa League against Maccabi Tel Aviv. Last time they had an away game in the Europa League, Sunderland beat them 4-0 the game after. Pulis made 9 changes this time though, so the team facing Bolton should theoretically be fully rested. It was Stoke last season that beat Bolton 5-0 in the FA Cup which marked the start of Bolton's decline. It could be time for revenge or another beating. I will just skip this fixture.
Fulham (3.3) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.3)
Fulham played a strong team in the Europa League midweek and beat Wisla Krakow 4-1. They may well regret doing this though with the visit of in for Spurs who played a team of youngsters in their Europa League game. In the Premiership, Fulham did record their second win of the season against Wigan last round. With their side, they should be higher up than they are. Spurs lost their Europa League game but it was a throwaway game for them. They didn't need to win it. They are in excellent form at the moment. They could have knocked a few more past QPR last weekend. I am starting to think that they could be City's biggest challengers this year. Fulham won't lose many games at home this season but I think this will be one of them. Spurs are looking like a solid top 4 side and yet you are still getting odds against for them. Spurs at 2.3 at PaddyPower is a great bet.
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