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Latest Tip: Football Betting Tips
by Ben, 2012-02-03 18:05:21Premiership Weekend Betting tips
4th - 6th February 2012
4th February 2012Arsenal (1.3) Draw (6) Blackburn (13)
I don't know what has happened to Arsenal. No win in the last 4 and if it wasn't for that come back from 2-0 down against Villa in the FA Cup, I can imagine the pressure would be unbearable for Wenger. Oxlade-Chamberlain has been one of their bright sparks this season but he is a doubt. Blackburn defeated Arsenal earlier in the season 4-3 in a crazy game. No Yakubu for this game or Samba in this game. Big misses for Blackburn. Lets not forget that Blackburn went to Old Trafford on New Year's Eve and won 3-2. I think it is beyond them this game but with the way Arsenal are playing, it wouldn't surprise me to see them getting something on the handicap. Arsenal haven't got the players this season to hammer teams. Blackburn +1.5 goals are 2.08 at bet365. That pays out even if Blackburn lose by the single goal. The last league game they won by more than a goal was against Wigan on the 3rd December.
Norwich (2.1) Draw (3.6) Bolton (3.75)
Poor performance from Norwich against Sunderland last round. They were rightly beat 3-0. I put it down to one those bad days that teams outside the top 3 have every so often. Before then, they had a 0-0 at home to Chelsea and 2 good away wins. Bolton's form has been pretty impressive recently, especially given that they have got rid of Cahill, one of their best players. Bolton made a couple of late signings that could start. I never heard of them though so I haven't a clue whether they'll be any good. No doubt they do need a striker but did knock 3 past Liverpool a couple of weeks ago. Betting wise, I think Norwich or the draw. I suppose as the draw is the best price, I'll go for that. It's 3.6 at Bet Victor
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QPR (1.95) Draw (3.6) Wolverhampton (4.2)
With the new signings, QPR look strong up front now. They threw away a 2-0 lead at Villa last round but playing away to Villa is different to playing at home to Wolves, who are quite possibly the worst team in the league. Wolves haven't won a game in the league since 4th December when they beat Sunderland 2-1. If they are going to turn it around, they'd do it at home but they have lost the last 3 at home on the bounce. McCarthy took the flak for that but at some point the players have to stand up. I'm backing QPR in this game. It's 1.95 at William Hill.
Stoke (2.3) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.5)
Both these teams are on equal points now but are going in different directions. Stoke are 4-4-3 at home this season which is not the fortress you'd expect at the Britannia. Out of the last 3 home games, they had against Villa, Wigan and West Brom, they have only managed 2 points. Sunderland have been boosted by the O'Neil factor. Well in the league anyway. There was that blip in the FA Cup against Leicester where they have to play a replay next week. Their league form has been exceptional, only dropping points to Chelsea recently. I am going to have to go with the form side. Its unusual for Stoke to lose 3 in a row but while Sunderland have the O'Neil factor I am going to keep tipping them. Sunderland are 3.5 at Bet Victor.
West Brom (2.2) Draw (3.3) Swansea (3.75)
A couple of good away results for West Brom in the last 2 games. A good draw at Fulham and a win at Stoke. It's at home where they have struggled this season, going 2-2-7. Poor form indeed. Swansea are the exact opposite with a poor away record 1-3-7. Swansea have been playing some great football though. They were unlucky not to take all 3 points from Chelsea last round, when an own goal in the 90th minute denied them. Tricky game to call but I think the odds on West Brom are poor. I think Swansea on the Asian Handicap looks good. They are +0.5 at 1.83 Bet Victor. Any of the 3 results wouldn't be surprising and that bet gives you a payout on 2 of them.
Wigan (3.6) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.2)
Wigan are in deep trouble. 5 points from safety and a massively inferior goal difference. Their last win was 10th December. They have had some good performances, for example against City but good performances don't equate to points. Its almost game over for them. Everton stunned me anyway by beating City last round. That was in part because City didn't take the game as seriously as they should have but to be fair to Everton they played well and City didn't look like scoring. I have not been a fan of Everton all season but I saw enough last round to make me think they will do alright now. They signed a couple of players on deadline day to strengthen their squad. I am not too happy about the price but Everton will be my bet. It's 2.2 at PaddyPower.
Manchester City (1.33) Draw (5.5) Fulham (12)
Disappointing performance against Everton for City. Watching the game, they didn't look like scoring. Plenty of possession but no end product. Still missing the Toure brothers and Balotelli but they had Kompany back. That was away from home though and at home they are 11-0-0. After the thrashing Newcastle 5-2 at home, you'd have thought that Fulham would follow it up with a win against West Brom but they only could manage a draw. Away from home, they are a different kettle of fish though and are just 1-5-5, including a 3-1 loss against a 10 man Blackburn. I really don't think they'll get anything from this. I suppose its just a question of whether to back City on the Handicap, win to nil or not to win to nil. With games like this, its always tempting to go for the to nil but looking at the odds at Coral, its 2.88 for City to win not to nil and City to win to nil at 2.1 at PaddyPower. I prefer the 2.88 as City's defence hasn't been water tight, Fulham do score in most of their away games and the price is better.
5th February 2012
Newcastle (2.2) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.8)
Newcastle are still up there in 5th place. I keep thinking it can't carry on but they keep defying the odds and keep picking up points. This is without their star striker Ba, who will be back for this game. I can imagine his return and being at home will give Newcastle the confidence to win this. They are only 3 points behind a faltering Chelsea and champion's league football is not totally out of the question next season. Villa started slow against QPR last round. Before they knew it, they were 2-0 down. They fought back hard though and deserved the 2-2 draw. Villa do have a lot of scoring potential in their side and Keane is looking like his old self. With where Newcastle are in the table and their recent form, I think they are a little under-priced here. I remember the Arsenal/ Villa game in the FA Cup and Arsenal were 1.7ish. 2.2 is a good price at Bet Victor.
Chelsea (2.63) Draw (3.3) Manchester United (2.9)
With Chelsea 12 points off the top and with a much inferior goal difference to the Manchester teams, its unlikely that Chelsea will be able to win. Their priority will be Champions League qualification. They were very fortunate to draw at Swansea last round with a late own goal saving them. Cole also got sent off so he'll be suspended for this game and no Terry. Manchester United have recovered well from the 2 losses over Christmas, winning 3 games on the bounce. Their win against Stoke wasn't the most impressive but on paper it did look like a routine 2-0 win for them. Young, Rooney and Nani are all fit for this game. I can see United winning this. I don't see why Chelsea are favourites with their defence missing and with United having their best attacking players back. Safest bet would be United draw no bet at 2.05 at William Hill.
6th February 2012
Liverpool (2.15) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (3.8)
Liverpool beat Wolves 3-0 and everything is fine now. People forget that they got beat 3-1 at Bolton the round before, drew to Stoke and lost 3-0 to Manchester City. In between they have had successes in the Carling Cup and FA Cup but in the league their form is shocking with them going 4-7-0. OK, so they are unbeaten at home but too many draws against poor sides. The good news is that Suarez is back but I think that Bellemy has been playing great and if he is sacrificed then it may weaken Liverpool. Spurs great run continues. They were unlucky to have got beat at City with a last minute penalty. That put back their ambitions of winning the league this season but still, anything is possible. They are at 10 points clear of 5th place Newcastle anyway. Betting wise, the place to bet is Bet365. They are running their in play offer again. Place a bet before the game of up to £50. Then in running, place a bet on the game and if your first bet loses, Bet365 will refund it. Personally, I think Spurs are a good shout here. They are 3.75 to win. If its looking a bit shakey in running, I am going to use the free bet to hedge. If you think that Liverpool are going to win, then they are 2.1 at Bet365. With the free bet offer, it's the only place to bet on this game on Monday night. New users get a free bet basket on sign up too. Click here to sign up.
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Latest article: Handicap Draw in Football Explained
There are two main types of handicaps in football. The main one is the 1X2 handicap (sometimes called European Handicap) and the other increasingly popular one is the Asian Handicap.More →
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